At 20:30 tonight, the U.S. January PCE may show an anomaly unseen for decades! Could this be another obstacle on the Federal Reserve's path to interest rate cuts?
Following the release of the CPI data, the market widely anticipates that this favored indicator of the Federal Reserve will 'take off.' Has an interest rate cut within the year become a distant hope? Additionally, this data was released prior to the outbreak of the Middle East conflict...
The Ministry of Commerce announced that the China-U.S. economic and trade consultations will be held from March 14 to 17, and the analysis and evaluation of the Section 301 investigation is currently underway.
As agreed by both China and the United States, Member of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and Vice Premier of the State Council He Lifeng will lead a delegation to France from March 14 to 17 to hold economic and trade consultations with the US side. Guided by the significant consensuses reached during the summit meeting between the leaders of both countries in Busan and their previous communications, the two sides will conduct consultations on economic and trade issues of mutual concern. Regarding the US claim of so-called 'overcapacity,' China stated that the US has no authority to unilaterally determine whether its trading partners have 'overcapacity' through a Section 301 investigation or to impose unilateral restrictive measures.
Global Equity Funds See Highest Outflows Since December on Oil Shock Fears
This Week's US Stock Winners | Partnering with NVIDIA to Build a New Future for AI-Powered Hyperscale Cloud Services, NEBIUS Surged Nearly 21% Over the Week; Iran Conflict Chokes Fertilizer Supply, CF Industries Holdings Among US Fertilizer Stocks Rose Ov
This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.73% to close at 46,677.85 points. During the same period, the S&P 500 Index dropped 1%, closing at 6,672.62 points, while the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.34%, ending at 22,311.98 points.
Leaked G7 call reveals Trump claiming Iran "on the verge of surrender"!
Trump pointed out that the core issue he is addressing is timing. Although he did not provide a specific deadline, he stated that 'We need to get this done' to avoid another conflict with Iran five years from now.
CBOE Volatility Index Little Changed Early Friday as Crude Oil Futures Slip Following Russia's Timebound Sanctions Waiver
A key inflation indicator has surged to its highest level in nearly four years. Has the scenario that Trump feared finally arrived?
Middle East conflicts have ignited inflation risks, causing market expectations to become completely 'unanchored.' Trump's much-touted achievement in reducing inflation is facing its biggest crisis ahead of the midterm elections.
A large number of U.S. companies are claiming tariff refunds, while the government asserts that manual processing could take up to 500 years.
There is currently a problem: the government would need to spend as many as 4,431,161 hours (equivalent to 506 years) manually processing all refund applications.
The U.S.-Iran war ends the "buy-the-dip" strategy: American retail investors halt "bottom fishing" for the first time in over a year!
According to JPMorgan, during the week of March 5 to 11, weekly retail purchases plummeted by approximately 30%, while net inflows into retail ETFs dropped by 22%, and individual stock buying contracted significantly. In terms of direction, retail investors continued to increase their positions in AI-related sectors while selling energy, finance, and healthcare stocks. Meanwhile, crude oil options trading volume surged, and fixed-income as well as low-volatility ETFs saw increased retail inflows.
Express News | Ministry of Commerce: He Lifeng, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, will lead a delegation to France from March 14 to 17 for trade and economic consultations with the United States.
The specter of inflation reappears but the 'script' has changed—why the European Central Bank is unlikely to repeat its 2022 missteps.
When addressing the inflation threat triggered by another round of conflict, the European Central Bank is acutely aware that this time the situation may be fundamentally different, and it is in a stronger position to respond.
The threat of gas supply disruptions intensifies! Indian consumers are rushing to buy induction cookers, and manufacturers may airlift components from China?
① Driven by fears of a potential gas shortage triggered by the conflict in the Middle East, Indian households are currently rushing to purchase induction cookers, causing both online and offline inventories to be rapidly depleted. ② TTK Prestige, an Indian kitchen appliance manufacturer, stated that if supply disruptions persist, it will switch from sea freight to air freight for components sourced from China and Southeast Asia, absorbing the higher costs to ensure continued supply.
Great power rivalry stirs Middle East tensions, with Russia allegedly providing 'behind-the-scenes support' to Iran?
Although Putin earlier denied providing intelligence to Iran during a phone call with Trump, Western intelligence sources still believe that Russia’s shadow looms behind Iran’s retaliation…
The margin call has been triggered! The 'domino effect' is unfolding consecutively in the U.S. private credit market.
The private credit crisis in the United States is spreading to traditional banking, with Deutsche Bank's stock price plunging to its largest single-day drop in nearly a year after exposing approximately $30 billion in related risk exposure. From Blue Owl's discounted sale of loans triggering a 'margin call moment,' to Blackrock writing down a debt to zero within three months, Cliffwater and Morgan Stanley have successively restricted redemptions. The dominoes are falling one after another, and the firewall between private credit and traditional banks is facing severe tests.
Despite the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices remain far below historical highs and the U.S. stock market has yet to show signs of panic. Why is the market remaining stable?
Analysts believe that high crude oil inventories, reduced global economic dependence on oil, and Wall Street's expectations of 'short-term conflicts' collectively weighed down oil prices. The traditional safe-haven logic for U.S. stocks unexpectedly failed as defensive sectors plummeted due to crowded trades and structural headwinds, while tech stocks without oil exposure and domestic companies became safe havens for capital. However, analysts warn that the current stability in asset pricing is extremely fragile, and if the conflict extends or core facilities are attacked, market optimism may face a violent reassessment.
Futu Morning Brief | Escalation of U.S.-Iran tensions and redemption pressures in the private credit market caused all three major U.S. stock indexes to fall more than 1.5%; Iran stated that it would allow vessels from certain countries to pass through th
According to a report by Iran's national television today (March 13), citing the Central Command of Khatam al-Anbiya, a U.S. military refueling aircraft was shot down by a missile launched by a resistance group in western Iraq, with all crew members killed.
Iran Tanker Attacks Sent the VIX Surging Today. Here Is What Could Push It To 50 From Here
U.S. Stock Market Close | Brent crude breaking $100 sparks inflation concerns, major indices plunge over 1.5%; chip stocks weaken collectively, Taiwan Semiconductor falls more than 5%, agricultural concepts strengthen, CF Industries Holdings surges 13%; g
The S&P fell 1.5% to its lowest level since November of last year amid an energy shock and redemption pressures in the private credit market. All members of the Mag 7 declined, with Tesla leading the losses by falling over 3%. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs dropped more than 4%. After-hours, Adobe plunged 7% following its earnings report. The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds jumped 11 basis points at one point to 3.76%. The yen fell 2%. Brent crude oil prices surged nearly 10% at one point and ultimately closed above $100 for the first time since August 2022.
The S&P 500 Just Broke a Major Support. Another 10% Decline Is Likely.
Express News | A US military refueling aircraft crashed in Iraq.