5-Year T-Note Futures (SEP5) News

The US stock market is likely to crash again! Trump launches a new round of tariff attacks, with an impact comparable to that of equivalent tariffs.

On June 18, Bloomberg reported that the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump is advancing another round of tariff "offensives." Some trade experts believe that these tariff actions are legally more justifiable than his approach of custom-tailoring rates for various countries, and could ultimately have the same widespread impact on imports.

U.S. Stock Investment Network11:08

Once again, it's the "Triple Witching Day" for U.S. stocks! The expiration of $6.5 trillion in Options may lead to significant volatility.

Investors are preparing for the upcoming expiration of $6.5 trillion nominal value of U.S. Options this Friday, which could lead to greater volatility in the stock market.

Zhitong Finance08:47

With the decline in demand for hedging coupled with the Federal Reserve's inflation warning, Gold may face its first weekly decline in three weeks.

Gold is on track for its first weekly decline in three weeks, as easing tensions in the Middle East have weakened safe-haven demand, while the Federal Reserve's inflation warnings have tempered expectations for interest rate cuts. Gold prices fluctuated little on Friday, with a cumulative decline of nearly 2% this week.

Gelonghui Finance10:08

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers: Trump will nominate mainstream figures to lead the Federal Reserve.

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers stated that he expects President Donald Trump to nominate a mainstream candidate to replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, despite Trump's criticism of Powell for failing to cut interest rates this year.

Zhitong Finance09:16

"Backlash" has come? Australian Funds begin Shareholding in U.S. Treasuries due to concerns about the risks of Trump's policies.

① Several major Institutions in Australia have indicated that they are reducing their holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds due to concerns that President Trump's tariff and tax plans may pose additional risks; ② Prior to this, Japan's largest life insurance company was also seeking alternatives to U.S. Treasury bonds, while some of Asia's largest family offices were cutting back or freezing their investments in the U.S., and the Bloomberg USD index has fallen more than 7% this year.

cls.cn08:55

Futu Daily News | The White House states it will decide within two weeks whether to attack Iran, the three major index futures all fell, and oil prices rose; the Triple Witching Hour approaches, market volatility may increase.

On June 19, Eastern Time, media reported that Trump was weighing the pros and cons of bombing Iran's Fordow nuclear facility, leaning towards crippling it but not making a final decision. Israeli officials expect the US may decide to join the attack on Israel within 24 to 48 hours. According to CCTV News, Trump will decide whether to strike Iran within two weeks.

Futu News08:08

The more he curses, the harsher it gets! Trump insults Powell again: stupid, one of the most destructive people, a disgrace to the United States!

Trump has once again called on the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates by 2.5 percentage points. He frequently pointed out that "Too late, sir" Powell caused the U.S. to "lose hundreds of billions of dollars" by not lowering interest rates.

wallstreetcn07:49

Nearly One-third of $36T National Debt Needs Refinancing as Trump Demands Rate Cuts

Fox BusinessJun 19 23:34

U.S. stock market digging for gold | The passage of the GENIUS Act has sparked a market boom, with Circle, the "first stock of stablecoins," seeing its share price more than double in just 10 days! AST SpaceMobile has surged more than 10% in a day, rising

American building product distributor QXO rose over 11% overnight, offering 5 billion dollars to acquire construction supplier GMS.

Futu NewsJun 19 18:07

What does 1:1 pegged short-term debt, stablecoins mean for the US dollar, US Treasury bonds, and the Federal Reserve?

The US stablecoin bill stipulates that all stablecoins must be backed 1:1 by high-quality, low-risk liquid Assets, specifically including US Treasury bonds that mature within 93 days. Data shows that the Inflow of stablecoin funds can cause the 3-month US Treasury yield to decrease by 2-2.5 basis points within 10 days, while Outflow of funds raises the yield by 6-8 basis points. Continued Buy of short-term US Treasury bonds by stablecoins may suppress yield volatility, thereby weakening the Federal Reserve's ability to adjust the financial environment through short-term rates.

wallstreetcnJun 19 18:02

Fed Unlikely to Cut Interest Rates Soon -- Market Talk

WSJJun 19 17:04

How will the interest rate be lowered next? The Federal Reserve will have to wait until after this summer to make a decision.

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in June as expected, and the dot plot still shows two rate cuts within the year. However, Powell stated that subsequent rate cuts need to confirm the impact of tariffs on inflation, while new obstacles such as escalating conflicts in the Middle East and unexpected spikes in food prices also pose challenges. Analysis suggests that these factors may lead the Federal Reserve to postpone key decisions until after the summer, making the path to rate cuts more complex and prolonged than anticipated.

wallstreetcnJun 19 14:47

The intense conflict between Israel and Palestine is ongoing, yet why is the market unresponsive? Beware of significant misjudgments!

Gold has fallen, oil prices have retreated, and U.S. stocks have rebounded - the market seems to have decided that the Middle East crisis is over. However, the current calmness of the market regarding the conflict may be giving rise to the next "black swan"...

Golden10 DataJun 19 14:35

Sell off and exit or Buy on dips? The Middle East powder keg ignites the bull-bear showdown in the US stock market.

As traders track the developments in the Middle East, the U.S. stock market has experienced significant volatility.

Zhitong FinanceJun 19 14:30

The U.S. reveals its latest combat plans, with senior officials preparing for potential strikes on Iran in the coming days.

As Israel's missile stockpiles run low, the involvement of the U.S. military has become the biggest variable. On June 19, Bloomberg reported, citing insider sources, that U.S. senior officials are preparing for possible strikes against Iran in the coming days. Some insiders indicated that there are potential plans to carry out strikes this weekend.

China SecuritiesJun 19 13:15

How have historical Middle Eastern wars affected the trends of major Assets?

Historically, the Middle East has witnessed multiple regional conflicts. From the perspective of the causes of wars, there are issues concerning the ethnic survival rights and territorial disputes between Israel and Arab countries, as well as internal ethnic divisions in countries like Syria, historical grievances, religious conflicts, and the influence of external countries' interventions. The complex interplay of multiple contradictions has made it difficult for the security situation in the Middle East to remain stable. Even if high-intensity conflicts subside in the short term, they typically recur periodically, as seen in the five Middle Eastern wars, the two Gulf wars, and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, all displaying this common characteristic.

CITIC SEC ResearchJun 19 11:42

The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": Powell said, "We don't know, so we wait."

Timiraos stated that as more employment and inflation data comes in, it will become clearer whether the Federal Reserve will take action. According to Powell's statement of "data-dependent", if prices rise significantly due to tariffs in the summer, the Federal Reserve may continue to wait and see; however, if the impact of tariffs is not as severe as expected, and the job market further cools down showing "clear weakness", rate cuts may come sooner.

wallstreetcnJun 19 11:35

"Big Short" Eisman issues a heavy warning: the "only real risk" in the market is tariffs.

The current fragile tariff environment is comparable to the eve of World War I! If trade negotiations break down, the global economy may fall into recession, and the EU negotiations have become a key battlefield.

Golden10 DataJun 19 11:29

The answer is finally revealed! What were the overseas "creditors" of the United States doing during the "U.S. debt storm" in April?

The TIC report shows that in April, the scale of U.S. Treasury bonds held by foreign investors decreased slightly from the historical high level, indicating that despite the severe impact of Trump's erratic tariff policies on the market, overseas "creditors" of the U.S. had not yet engaged in massive selling that month...

cls.cnJun 19 11:14

Did the Iraq War impact global stock markets? Wall Street magnates: The effect will end quickly, focus on the economy itself!

① Jeff Buchbinder, Chief Stocks Strategist at LPL Financial, believes that the global stock market will soon shake off the impact of the Israel conflict, as economic growth and corporate profits are the key to the market's rise; ② Buchbinder cites the Gulf War and the 9/11 attacks as examples, illustrating that market reactions are related to economic conditions rather than the wars themselves.

cls.cnJun 19 10:38