Rising oil prices fuel inflation, while weakening employment data dampens rate hike expectations—gold benefits from both sides.

Geopolitical tensions caused oil price volatility, fueling inflation expectations and boosting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven and store-of-value asset. Meanwhile, the unexpectedly weak U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for July dealt a sharp blow to interest rate hike expectations, driving both Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar lower. The combined effect of these two forces propelled gold to its best weekly performance in seven months. Additionally, ETF buying interest has concurrently rebounded—with global gold ETF holdings increasing by approximately 24 tonnes since July 20.

wallstreetcnAug 8 17:15

Gold Rallies Over 7%: UBS Sets $5,000 Price Target

Yahoo FinanceAug 8 04:25

Gold surges $300 in three days! A short squeeze unfolds, and the rally may be far from over—UBS Group calls for $5,000 an ounce by next year.

Previously, many CTA trend-following funds maintained short positions in gold. Now, as gold prices have broken through key levels, CTAs are cutting losses and turning net long. Meanwhile, a significant amount of speculative gold capital missed the current rally and may be forced to chase higher prices in the near term, potentially fueling a second wave of gains. UBS Group notes that declining U.S. Treasury yields, a medium-term weakening of the U.S. dollar, and sustained central bank gold purchases will drive gold prices to USD 5,000 by the first half of 2027.

wallstreetcnAug 7 22:50

US Economy Loses 23,000 Jobs, Gold Jumps 3%: What Do Prediction Markets Say About Rate Hikes?

BenzingaAug 7 22:31

Surprise! U.S. nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in July, with previous two months' figures revised down by a total of 103,000, dampening expectations for further rate hikes.

Expected to rise by 80,000 but plunged by 23,000 instead! The latest U.S. nonfarm payroll data unexpectedly cooled significantly—has a September rate hike become nothing more than wishful thinking?

wallstreetcnAug 7 21:04

Express News | US Jul. Non-Farm Payrolls -23000 Vs +80000 Forecast, Prior +20000; US Jul. Unemployment Rate 4.1% Vs 4.2% Forecast, Prior 4.2%

BreakingsAug 7 20:30