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KOSPI plunge shatters retail investor confidence! South Korea's 'ant army' returns to U.S. equities with $4.6 billion, raising concerns that capital outflows could once again pressure the Korean won.
The sharp decline in South Korea's stock market has driven retail investors there to pour into U.S. markets at the fastest pace in six months, reigniting long-standing risks that have pressured the Korean won.
‘AI Stock Oracle’s Margin Call’ and ‘Historic Collapse of Korean Equities’: Seemingly ‘Accidental,’ but Actually ‘Inevitable’? Deutsche Bank: This Is a Dress Rehearsal for the Future
Markets quickly absorbed the blow-up of the 'AI stock oracle' and the sharp plunge in South Korean equities, returning to calm after brief turbulence. However, Deutsche Bank argues that these two events are not isolated or coincidental; rather, they represent a concentrated manifestation of systemic leverage accumulated over more than a decade of ultra-low interest rates. As interest rates normalize, traditional safe-haven assets lose their effectiveness, and the Federal Reserve actively introduces uncertainty, 'small volatility' events will occur with greater frequency—and each could serve as a trigger for a larger crisis.
South Korea's leveraged ETF turmoil continues to escalate; Blue House Policy Office Director faces criminal charges
① In South Korea, the controversy sparked by the launch of single-stock leveraged ETF products is escalating into a legal battle; ② According to recent reports, Kim Yong-beom, Director of the Policy Office at the Presidential Office, faces criminal charges over the 'hasty introduction of leveraged ETFs.'
"Black July" ended with two consecutive gains—has 'AI trading' hit bottom?
Most analysts believe that the most intense phase of sector rotation has passed, following a sharp pullback in momentum stocks and a partial valuation correction among leading AI companies. However, they also emphasized that this does not mean a precise market bottom has been confirmed. JPMorgan recommends overweighting quality factors, while Goldman Sachs highlights risks associated with long-end interest rates and advises maintaining highly liquid and low-complexity positions.
Retail investors—dubbed the 'army of ants'—have flooded into leveraged ETFs, plunging South Korea's stock market into an unprecedented cycle of volatility.
This year, South Korea's stock market surged amid the AI boom, with volatility exceeding 60%—even higher than Bitcoin—and triggered circuit breakers nine times. The extreme fluctuations stemmed from exceptionally high index concentration: two semiconductor giants account for more than half of the KOSPI's weight, compounded by the herd behavior of retail investors ('ant army'), who flocked to buy highly leveraged, single-stock ETFs, significantly amplifying market swings and structural fragility.
South Korea plans to inject USD 14 billion into its sovereign wealth fund, betting on AI and data centers.
According to a government statement, the newly established special-purpose account will be housed within KIC’s existing structure, with an initial size of no less than KRW 20 trillion, funded through equity contributions from public institutions including policy banks. The most symbolic aspect of this adjustment is that KIC’s investment mandate will, for the first time, be extended to domestic assets.