One ETF Nikkei225 (1369)
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One ETF Nikkei225 (1369) News
Oil Rises as Escalating U.S.-Iran Conflict Stokes Supply Disruption Fears
By Ronnie Harui Oil prices climbed in Asian trade Monday morning as escalating tensions in the U.S.-Iran conflict stoked concerns over potential supply disruptions in the Middle East. The U.S.
Express News | The Korea Composite Index opened more than 3% higher, with SK Hynix rising nearly 6% and Samsung Electronics gaining over 4%. The Nikkei 225 Index opened up nearly 1%.
Markets retreated as risk aversion intensified amid deteriorating conditions in the Middle East.
Market Overview for Last Week (August 31–September 4) Nikkei Stock Average: High: ¥66,525.7 Low: ¥63,772.8 Close: ¥65,020.94 Week-on-week change: -2.09% The market retreated as risk aversion intensified amid deteriorating conditions in the Middle East. Selling pressure dominated early in the week due to heightened expectations of U.S. interest rate hikes following the Jackson Hole symposium and caution regarding the Middle East situation. Midweek, rising crude oil prices triggered by the worsening Middle East局势 reignited inflation concerns, while long-term government bond yields in both Japan and the U.S. climbed, further strengthening risk-off selling. Toward the end of the week, expectations of U.S. rate hikes...
Upside momentum remains constrained, weighed down by expectations of interest rate hikes in Japan and the United States.
This week's outlookSeptember 7–11Nikkei AverageA bearish outlook, weighed down by expectations of interest-rate hikes in both Japan and the United States.A bearish turn in the market? Following
How far can the yen's reversal go? Goldman Sachs: Structural recovery is "just getting started," while Bank of America forecasts a rise to 149 by year-end.
Goldman Sachs assesses that the correction of the yen's long-term structural undervaluation may have only just begun.
Yen short positions begin to unwind! Capital repatriation and carry trade unwinding could trigger a "reversal rally"
Just six weeks ago, the yen’s exchange rate against the U.S. dollar touched its lowest level in four decades. Today, a confluence of factors is finally shaking the conviction of aggressive short-sellers who have bet on the yen’s depreciation for years, as the long-slumping currency approaches a pivotal turning point.
The Bank of Japan at a Crossroads: JGB Yields and Yen Volatility as Short-Term Guiding Factors
Key Takeaways: Market focus has shifted from growth to discount rates and monetary policy, while enthusiasm for the AI theme has cooled. Following hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Walsh at the Jackson Hole symposium, global equity markets opened September with heightened volatility, as investors closely monitored interest rate trends in Japan and the United States. Waning market interest in AI-related topics, coupled with rising attention to monetary policy measures such as rate hikes, has driven capital flows from growth-oriented themes to sectors sensitive to discount rates. Rising real interest rates have dampened equity market sentiment, with CTA strategies exacerbating short-term volatility. The accelerated rise in real 10-year bond yields in major markets, including Japan and the United States, has placed additional pressure on equity market sentiment.
Asian Stocks Rise as Bets on Fed Hike Ease -- Update
By Ronnie Harui Asian equities rose Friday as markets dialed down expectations for an interest-rate hike after dovish remarks from a Federal Reserve official. Federal Reserve governor Christopher
Bolstered by dual expectations of interest rate hikes and intervention, the yen surged for two consecutive days, retesting the 156 level and marking its strongest performance since the joint U.S.-Japan intervention!
After two consecutive days of sharp gains, the yen has returned to around 156, with markets simultaneously pricing in a Bank of Japan rate hike and remaining wary of renewed intervention by Japanese authorities. As meetings of the U.S. and Japanese central banks approach, along with Japan’s extended holiday period, analysts warn that the risk of fresh intervention will rise significantly if the USD/JPY exchange rate revisits the 160 level.
As Japanese Capital Returns Home: Is the Break of the 3% Threshold in JGB Yields Reshaping Global Capital Flows?
① As Japan’s benchmark 10-year government bond yield breaks through the 3% barrier for the first time in three decades, higher returns are beginning to attract Japanese capital held overseas to flow back home; ② This could reverse the once-stable trend of Japanese capital inflows into global markets...
Nikkei May Remain Rangebound Amid Middle East Uncertainty -- Market Talk
2347 GMT - Japanese stocks may remain rangebound as uncertainty over the Middle East and energy costs continues. Nikkei futures are up 0.1% at 64520 on the SGX. The dollar is at 158.84 yen, down
The yen surged suddenly amid renewed rumors of Japanese intervention, prompting a rebound in gold and silver prices.
The yen strengthened sharply on Wednesday, while the U.S. Dollar Index recorded its largest intraday decline since August 21, with spot gold approaching $4,400. Rumors circulated that Japanese authorities had intervened again, but traders viewed the magnitude of the gain as insufficient to confirm intervention.
The Hidden Risk in the Global Bond Market Sell-off: Rising Neutral Rates May Require More Aggressive Hikes by Major Central Banks
Global bond yields are struggling to rise toward a higher neutral interest rate level.
A "slow bear" market is emerging in global bonds in 2026: while less severe than in 2022, the pain may be more prolonged.
Recently, global bond prices have declined, though not as sharply as the plunge seen in 2022.
European natural gas prices hit a year-to-date high as escalating US-Iran tensions drive up oil prices
On September 2, European natural gas prices surged to a new high for the year, while international oil prices touched a five-week high of $97 per barrel. The United States launched a new round of military strikes against Iran, sparking market concerns over a comprehensive escalation of conflict between the two sides and driving energy prices significantly higher. Brent crude rose as much as 2.5% to $97.04 per barrel during intraday trading before retreating to around $95.60, ending with a gain of approximately 1%. Dutch TTF natural gas futures exceeded €75 per megawatt-hour for the first time since the outbreak of conflict in February, reaching their highest level since early 2023. The United States conducted airstrikes on Iranian targets on September 1, marking the second such operation in recent days.
Following Kazuo Ueda's hint at a September rate hike, a Bank of Japan board member stated that the magnitude of the increase would not necessarily be 0.25%.
Hajime Takada, a hawkish member of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, has added another variable to the outlook for the September policy meeting. While an interest rate hike is highly probable, the magnitude may not align with the market's inertial expectation of 0.25 percentage points.
U.S. Treasury bonds collapse, yen crashes! Investment banks: What are the similarities and differences between the current situation and the 1997 Asian financial crisis?
① The 1997 Asian financial crisis ultimately plunged many economies in the region into recession. Asian markets suffered severe setbacks, with currency collapses, capital flight, and a wave of bank failures following in quick succession... ② Meanwhile, Frederick Neumann, Chief Economist at HSBC, points out that there are striking similarities between the current financial environment in Asia and the period just before the crisis erupted.
Japanese bond yields break records; Bessent pressures yen; Bitcoin carry trades face liquidation risk
Japanese government bond yields have hit record highs, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent publicly pressuring Japan to raise interest rates. As the cost of yen carry trades rises and potential unwinding looms, crypto assets such as Bitcoin face liquidity shocks, with market focus shifting to the central bank's decision on September 18.
Global Forex and Fixed Income Roundup: Market Talk
The latest Market Talks covering FX and Fixed Income. Published exclusively on Dow Jones Newswires throughout the day. 1941 ET - Japanese stocks may fall as concerns over the Iran conflict and
Nikkei May Fall Amid Concerns About Iran Conflict, Energy Costs -- Market Talk
2341 GMT - Japanese stocks may fall as concerns over the Iran conflict and higher energy costs persist. Nikkei futures are down 2.0% at 64830 on the SGX. The dollar is at 160.20 yen, compared with Y15