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Goldman Sachs Trader: U.S. Stocks to Face Continued Selling Pressure This Week
Goldman Sachs has warned that the selling pressure in the U.S. stock market has yet to ease, with CTA strategies likely continuing to reduce positions. Coupled with liquidity shortages and the negative gamma effect, market volatility is expected to intensify. Additionally, amid high positioning from other strategy funds (such as risk parity and volatility control strategies) and weakening inflows from retail investors, downside risks in the market are increasing.
Geopolitical crises that fail to trigger oil price spikes are not a cause for concern? Wall Street bulls remain highly confident!
U.S. stocks plummeted on Tuesday, erasing year-to-date gains, as the 'fear gauge' surged above 20. However, bulls remain optimistic about the continuation of the bull market. Historical data shows that most geopolitical events since 1940 have not halted the rise of U.S. equities, and currently, robust corporate earnings and a solid economic foundation continue to support the market.
Goldman Sachs Communication Session: Overweight China, with equities as a 'clearly overweight' asset by 2026.
Liu Jinjin told Wall Street News·Zi Shitang that China's slow bull market is expected to continue, benefiting insurance companies in their allocation of equity assets. Insurance companies are progressively increasing their investment in equity assets, with the allocation ratio rising, which directly contributes to their overall investment returns.
The rise in the US core CPI for December was lower than expected, slightly increasing bets on interest rate cuts.
The year-on-year increase in the US CPI for December was 2.7%, while the month-on-month increase was 0.3%. The core CPI rose by 2.6% year-on-year, lower than the market expectation of 2.7%, and increased by 0.2% month-on-month, falling short of the market forecast of 0.3%.
The 'rotation trend' in the U.S. stock market faces a test: strong earnings from tech giants remain highly attractive! The performance guidance of small and mid-cap stocks and value stocks becomes the key to sustaining the rally.
The earnings season will test Wall Street's rotational trading strategy.
Tonight's US CPI: With the impact of the government shutdown fading, core inflation may return to 2.7%. Is the rebound only just beginning?
The U.S. December CPI will be released tonight. As the statistical distortions caused by the government shutdown fade, economists expect the core CPI year-over-year growth rate to rebound to 2.7%. Due to a rebound in housing inflation and potential pass-through of tariff costs, the inflation rate remains stubbornly above the 2% target, causing expectations for a January interest rate cut to almost vanish. Against the complex backdrop of judicial controversies affecting the Federal Reserve's independence, tonight’s data will set the tone for monetary policy direction at the start of 2026.