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Unexpected Turn to Negative! U.S. Retail Sales Fell 0.6% Month-on-Month in July, Marking the Largest Decline in Over a Year
Just as inflation begins to cool, U.S. consumer spending has suddenly weakened, making the Federal Reserve’s policy choices more nuanced and reducing the likelihood of multiple rate hikes within the year...
快讯 | 美国零售销售月率意外负增长
US July Retail Sales MoM -0.6% Vs +0.1% Forecast, Prior +0.2%
Gold Price Today: XAU/USD Eyes $4,400 After US Jobless Claims Rise
Gold Rally Faces Make-or-Break Test at 200-Day Moving Average
Divergence Among Fed Officials Emerges: Barkin Supports Holding Steady, Hammack Insists on Rate Hike
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin supports holding interest rates steady, arguing that inflation stems primarily from temporary shocks, but warns that AI investment and supply chain dynamics could exert persistent price pressures. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, meanwhile, reaffirmed her stance in favor of rate hikes, cautioning against financial stability risks such as U.S. Treasury leverage and an AI bubble. With unemployment remaining low and economic data presenting a mixed picture, the Federal Reserve’s policy path for its September meeting is fraught with uncertainty.
Inflation cools more than expected! U.S. July PPI growth narrows to 4.7%, driven primarily by lower energy costs
The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month in July, with the year-on-year rate declining to 4.7%. The core PPI fell to 4.2% year-on-year, primarily driven by lower energy prices and a slowdown in service price inflation. The widening divergence between the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the PPI is putting pressure on corporate profit margins. Market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes remain unchanged, with the view that there is limited urgency for short-term policy adjustments. Future inflation trends will continue to depend on changes in energy prices.