S&P 500 and Dow Jones Face Nine-Year Losing Streak: What History Says About Stocks After Labor Day
With summer unofficially over, historical data shows a consistent nine-year Tuesday-losing streak for major indexes immediately after the Labor Day holiday, fueling the possibility of a tenth
China Merchants Securities: Frequent Policies to Curb Cutthroat Competition; Monitor Progress in the Auto Industry
China Merchants Securities released a research report stating that policies aimed at curbing cutthroat competition are being introduced frequently, and investors should monitor developments in the automotive industry.
Tightening Policy Meets AI Capital Expenditure: Risks Remain Resilient
Key View: The policy paths of the Federal Reserve and global central banks are leaning hawkish, with multiple rate hikes expected before year-end. At the Jackson Hole symposium, Federal Reserve Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish signal, emphasizing that the 2% PCE inflation target remains unchanged and that further action will be required if underlying inflation does not improve. Despite aggressive market expectations, JPMorgan still anticipates a 25 basis point rate hike by the Fed in December, although the possibility of a hike in September also exists given the strength of the labor market. Additionally, the Bank of England, Sveriges Riksbank, Norges Bank, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand are each expected to raise rates by 25 basis points before year-end; new forecasts suggest that the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan will act in September.
China Merchants Securities: Global risk assets underperformed in the three to six months leading up to the election; since entering October, both the probability of gains and average returns have generally improved.
Gelonghui, September 3 – China Merchants Securities released a research report stating that a review of U.S. midterm elections since 1970 shows global risk assets generally underperformed in the three to six months preceding the elections. Performance improved in terms of both win rates and average returns after entering October, with further strengthening observed in the three to six months following the election results. The pattern is most consistent for U.S. equities: the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 indices collectively showed weak performance in the three to six months before the midterms, with average returns of -3%, 0%, and -4% respectively over the six-month period. One month before the midterms, i.e., from October onward, all three indices significantly strengthened, with their probabilities of rising reaching 64%
A bolt from the blue for U.S. stocks? Wall Street’s largest bank turns bearish, despite its forecasts having been “spot-on” so far this year!
① In its latest shift in stance, the JPMorgan team has adopted a "tactically cautious/neutral" view on U.S. equities. ② The team wrote in a report to clients, "In other words, while equity market fundamentals remain strong, short-term variables could lead to sideways consolidation."
JPMorgan’s trading desk, known for its high accuracy, hits the brakes: six warning lights illuminate simultaneously
The JPMorgan office most closely watched by institutional clients has reversed its stance again. On September 1, the bank’s Market Intel desk, which focuses on institutional clients, downgraded its rating on U.S. equities from “tactically bullish” to “tactically cautious/neutral.” The team led by Andrew Tyler wrote in the report: “While equity fundamentals remain strong, short-term variables could lead to sideways market volatility,” and “the current environment favors reducing net long positions and adopting a neutral strategy.” The timeframe they provided is only two to three weeks. The unusual aspect is that this is not a
Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Kondigt Aan Dat Zijn ETH-holdings 5,90 Miljoen Tokens Hebben Bereikt En Dat De Totale Holdings in Cryptovaluta En Liquide Middelen 15,6 Miljard Dollar Bedragen
Bitmine bezit 4,9% van het totale ETH-aanbod van 120,7 miljoenBitmine heeft in slechts 15 maanden 98% van het doel van de 'Alchemy of 5%' bereiktETH is tot nu toe in het derde kwartaal van 2026 de
The Small-Cap Rally Is Starting to Look Stretched -- Barrons.com
By Paul R. La Monica Small ball has been a smart investing strategy this year. The Russell 2000 and S&P Small Cap 600 indexes are both up about 20% in 2026, easily topping the S&P 500's 12.7% gain.
As September approaches, Bank of America issues an "investment apocalypse" warning: equity assets may suffer outflows, while commodities led by gold take center stage in asset allocation.
As September approaches, a recent report from Bank of America highlights key seasonal trends that investors should monitor, particularly as the market enters the second year of the four-year U.S. presidential term cycle.
GLOBAL EQUITY TOKENIZATION ENTERS CRITICAL IMPLEMENTATION PHASE AHEAD OF OCTOBER DTC LAUNCH, NEW TFOS RESEARCH FINDS
TFOS's new Analytical Review maps how US tokenized-equity infrastructure moved from regulatory approval into live production in under a year, and what it means for South African brokersJOHANNESBURG,
U.S. Investors Have Been Buying Stocks All Month and Are Sitting on Profits. Here's What Might Make Them Sell.
By Jules Rimmer Long positions in Nasdaq, S&P 500 and especially the Russell 2000 have increased over the past three weeks U.S. markets have been on the receiving end of inflows from investors for
Citi: U.S. equity positioning improves for the third consecutive week
Citi strategists stated that the Nasdaq 100 Index, which is heavily weighted toward technology stocks, has continued to rise, supported by inflows of new risk capital, while U.S. equity allocation levels have improved for the third consecutive week. The research team led by David Zhou noted that overall positioning in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 remains biased toward bullishness. "Short exposure in several major markets has declined, and the impact of short squeezes is waning." The team believes that vulnerabilities in positioning are concentrated in long portfolios that have already realized gains, such as the Russell 2000 and certain European markets. Despite adverse factors at the geopolitical and policy levels, European equities continue to attract new
Goldman Sachs stated that market bets on the Federal Reserve are overly hawkish, deeming a September rate hike “very unlikely”.
Markets are repricing the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path, but Goldman Sachs believes the adjustment is insufficient. The firm’s chief economist stated that a September rate hike by the Fed has become “highly unlikely” following weaker retail sales, soft employment data, and continued cooling of inflation.
Benzinga Bulls and Bears: Riot Platforms, Firefly, Virgin Galactic
Benzinga examined the prospects for many investors' favorite stocks over the last week — here's a look at some of our top stories.U.S. stocks finished the week with modest gains as cooling inflation
QUICK SPARK: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Take Center Stage in ProShares' New Autocallable ETFs
ProShares has launched three new ETFs that give investors access to autocallable income strategies through a single ticker. The funds target autocallable notes linked to the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 and
Bond Yields Are at Multiyear Highs, yet Stocks Have Hit Fresh Records. Here's How Long the Defiance Can Last.
By Jamie Chisholm The relationship between bond yields and equities has turned negative again, says LPL Financial Storm clouds are brewing over U.S. government bonds. Bond yields are rising amid a
Oil, Earnings, Retail Sales Outlook Cap Wall Street Pre-Bell; Asia Up, Europe Flt
Wall Street futures pointed modestly higher pre-bell Friday, as the waning earnings season and the apparently unchanged impasse in the Persian Gulf provided few catalysts for traders.In the futures,
Bears Are in Pain as the S&P 500 Hits Record Highs. That May Mean More Upside for Stocks.
By Jamie Chisholm Positioning shows the shorts are yet to capitulate, suggests Citi Stocks go up...making life awkward for the shorts The S&P 500's rally to fresh record highs leaves those short the
CME Group will launch the E-mini Nano Equity Index Futures on August 24, expanding access for retail investors to four major benchmark indices.
This newly launched batch of ultra-small contracts, sized at one-tenth that of Micro E-mini futures, enables both institutional and retail investors to fine-tune their exposure to major equity market benchmarks.
Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: Gold Prices Stall at the 4,300 Mark—Will Employment Data Add Fuel to the Fire or Pull the Rug Out?
While global investors remain immersed in the euphoria of U.S. equities repeatedly hitting new highs, a subtle signal has quietly emerged—spot gold prices briefly touched the key psychological level of USD 4,300 per ounce during Wednesday’s (August 5) trading session, marking the first time since June 18. However, gold prices retreated slightly to around USD 4,240 on Thursday (August 6). On Friday (August 7), during Asian trading hours, spot gold fluctuated with a marginal increase and is currently trading near USD 4,260 per ounce. Market participants are closely watching the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for July, scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time this Friday (August 7).