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U.S. June PPI cooled more than expected, signaling a temporary easing of inflationary pressures.
Driven by a sharp decline in energy prices, U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell by 0.3% month-over-month in June, marking the first drop in nearly a year. Although the notable easing of wholesale inflationary pressures has provided the Federal Reserve with some breathing room, recurring tensions in the Middle East continue to introduce uncertainty into the inflation outlook.
Wash: AI pushes up prices but not necessarily inflation; no inflation metric is precise, and Trump has not attempted to interfere with the Federal Reserve.
Worshe acknowledged that June CPI and PPI data showed improvement, but noted that inflation indicators do not perfectly reflect underlying inflationary conditions. He stated that one-off price changes do not necessarily lead to sustained inflation, and emphasized that the inflationary impacts of AI and external conflicts are fundamentally different when viewed through the lens of market supply-side responses. The AI boom has already driven up prices for chips and other components, and prices could rise further over the next 12 months; whether this evolves into broader inflation will depend on the Federal Reserve's actions. He added that he has 'repeatedly' told Trump that he is independent, that Trump has never asked him to do anything improper, and that if such a request were ever made, he would not comply.
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