Gold SEP7 (GC2709) News

Gold Outlook Analysis: Risks of a 'Dead Cat Bounce' in the High-Price Zone Continue to Escalate

Currently, as international gold prices approach historical highs, upward momentum is gradually weakening, with trading volumes showing a sustained contraction. At the same time, the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) indicates that large-scale long-position liquidations have already occurred in the market ahead of the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. This suggests that the risk of a pullback in gold prices at higher levels is steadily increasing. From a recent trend perspective, the rebound in gold prices initiated near the 4700-point level has performed notably well, with significant cumulative gains. However, it is important to remain cautious, as

FX678 Finance19:44

Trump tariffs face strongest political backlash! Calls for rate cuts may fuel dollar sell-off at highs, while the Chinese Lunar New Year may weigh on gold.

Following another trading day dominated by 'artificial intelligence anxiety' on Wednesday, global equities and U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Thursday (February 12). Driven by a series of robust corporate earnings reports, European stocks advanced, while U.S. stock index futures also signaled an anticipated rise on Wall Street.

FX16819:31

Stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data not a concern? Hedge fund heavyweight: The Fed will cut rates more than twice this year, bullish on gold!

①David Einhorn, founder of Greenlight Capital, predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more times than the expected two this year, as he believes Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee for Fed Chair, can convince the committee to implement significant rate cuts; ②Einhorn is bullish on gold, stating that it has become a reserve asset for central banks and that the instability of U.S. trade policy is prompting other countries to seek trade settlements in currencies other than the dollar, thereby driving up gold prices.

cls.cn10:09

Goldman Sachs: Commodities have entered a 'high volatility era' due to stockpiling, with gold's upward trend expected to remain relatively robust.

①Goldman Sachs pointed out that the rise in gold prices is part of a shift in how governments and investors approach commodities, with central bank purchases aimed at hedging risks driving the surge in gold prices; ②Analysts stated that the annual new supply of gold is relatively stable and reacts slowly to price changes. This means that demand driven by risk concerns can sustainably push gold prices higher over a longer period.

cls.cn00:30

Express News | U.S. media: The United States has instructed a second aircraft carrier to prepare for deployment to the Middle East.

Breakings03:18

Express News | Trump: Calls for Continued Negotiations with Iran, No Other Decisions Made with Netanyahu

Breakings02:56

Express News | Following the release of non-farm payroll data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March rose to 94.1%.

BreakingsFeb 11 22:10

Gold and Silver Are Rallying Again Ahead of Payrolls Report

MarketWatchFeb 11 19:13

Amid a sluggish stock market, Indian investors are flocking to gold and silver ETFs.

India's market is witnessing a 'shift from stocks to gold' trend: In January, gold ETFs saw their first net inflows surpassing equity funds, reflecting heightened risk aversion amid a sluggish stock market. Weakness in small-cap stocks and government asset sales have further pressured the equity market. Meanwhile, commercial real estate REITs have risen against the trend, while high-valuation IPOs have faced lukewarm reception, indicating a movement of capital from growth assets toward safe-haven and structural opportunities.

wallstreetcnFeb 11 18:22

House Rejects Speaker Johnson's Effort to Block Tariff Votes

WSJFeb 11 15:31

Bullish on gold price reaching $6,000 by year-end! BNP Paribas: This rally is "justified."

①David Wilson, Head of Commodity Strategy at BNP Paribas, stated this week that the current rally in gold prices is "justified" amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical risks; ②Wilson predicted that gold prices could climb to $6,000 per ounce by the end of the year, with the gold-to-silver ratio also set to rise further.

cls.cnFeb 11 09:41

Express News | Trump stated that if the US-Iran negotiations fail, he might send another carrier strike group to the Middle East.

BreakingsFeb 11 02:20

Goldman Sachs: Global capital shifts to a 'hard asset rotation,' with commodities potentially experiencing long-term premiums.

Goldman Sachs pointed out that global capital is accelerating its shift from financial assets to hard assets such as commodities in search of safe havens, forming a 'hard asset rotation.' This trend is expected to keep prices of metals like copper and gold at high levels over the long term, potentially even surpassing the fundamentals supported by physical supply and demand. Due to the smaller size of the metals market, limited supply elasticity, and easier storage, the marginal impact of capital inflows on these assets is particularly significant. This structural reallocation may lead to a sustained premium for certain commodities.

wallstreetcnFeb 10 23:14

A historical first! Indian capital is increasingly flowing into gold, with prices firmly holding above the 5,000 mark.

Gold is attempting to find direction after experiencing a historic plunge, while a rare phenomenon has emerged in the Indian market: gold ETFs have demonstrated stronger inflows than equity funds...

Golden10 DataFeb 10 19:28

Gold Futures Reclaim $5,000 Mark, Buoyed by 'Gradual Erosion of Confidence' in the U.S. Dollar

MarketWatchFeb 10 02:14

Express News | The U.S. Maritime Administration has advised American vessels to avoid Iranian waters.

BreakingsFeb 9 23:18

The Shanghai Futures Exchange has issued a notice regarding work arrangements during the 2026 Spring Festival.

Gelonghui, February 9 | According to an announcement by the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE), effective from the closing settlement on Thursday, February 12, 2026, adjustments will be made to the margin requirements and price limit ranges as follows: For listed contracts of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, and alumina futures, the price limit range will be adjusted to 13%, the margin requirement for hedging positions will be adjusted to 14%, and the margin requirement for general positions will be adjusted to 15%. For listed contracts of nickel and tin futures, the price limit range will be adjusted to 15%, the margin requirement for hedging positions will be adjusted to 16%, and the margin requirement for general positions will be adjusted to 17%. For listed contracts of gold futures, the price limit range...

Gelonghui FinanceFeb 9 20:30

Rotation in hard assets! Goldman Sachs: This commodities rally is more of an 'asset allocation shock' than a pure supply-demand story.

Goldman Sachs pointed out that the strength of the commodity market in early 2026 can no longer be explained by a single supply-demand logic. The scale of commodities is extremely limited, and even relatively moderate inflows of asset allocation funds are sufficient to cause significant price shocks in the short term. For every one basis point increase in the proportion of gold allocation in U.S. financial portfolios, the price of gold will be pushed up by approximately 1.5%. The current copper price has partially reflected allocation-driven logic, and it is expected that prices may fall back to $11,200 per ton by the fourth quarter of 2026.

wallstreetcnFeb 9 19:12

Gold and silver prices rebound, institutions are bullish on long-term gold prices but warn of volatility in silver prices.

What will be the next move for gold and silver prices? Does this signify the end of a long-term trend, or is it merely a nerve-wracking "stress test" in the midst of a bull market?

Securities DailyFeb 9 08:02

Gold, silver, and copper are all expected to undergo 'consolidation' in the coming weeks! JPMorgan stated that this is merely a bull market pause, with copper potentially leading a rebound in the second quarter.

The rally in metals has paused, but the music has not stopped. During this 'intermission,' blindly chasing higher gold prices may lead to months of volatile fluctuations. Conversely, focusing on signals of a recovery in the manufacturing cycle and positioning in base metals at technical support levels could be the optimal strategy for capturing the next wave of upward momentum.

wallstreetcnFeb 9 07:12