U.S. CPI in May met expectations, while core CPI rose at a slower-than-expected monthly pace, leading traders to reduce bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Amid heightened tensions in the Middle East, U.S. CPI rose year-over-year to a high of 4.2%, with energy inflation particularly severe. While headline inflation increased, core CPI unexpectedly slowed, sending a positive signal that the war-related inflation peak may have already passed…
Trump warned Iran that it would 'pay a price' for delay, as Israel may launch another strike!
Trump announced that Iran's military forces have been completely defeated, and U.S.-Iran tensions have officially entered a phase of 'maximum military pressure.' As a result, international oil prices surged sharply, gold and silver prices retreated significantly, and Middle East geopolitical risk premiums instantly reshaped market valuation logic.
US-Iran peace talks disrupted again? US military strikes Iran once more; Trump calls action 'very tough'
① Tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated further on Tuesday, with explosions reported in multiple locations in southern Iran and the U.S. military claiming it had launched retaliatory strikes against Iran; ② U.S. President Trump stated that the action was in response to Iran shooting down a U.S. military helicopter; ③ Meanwhile, the U.S. side believes the strikes will not disrupt the negotiation process.
Vance voiced strong support for Trump's Iran policy, saying he is 'certain' that the U.S.-Iran war will become history within a year.
In an interview on Monday, U.S. Vice President Vance addressed the situation in Iran, emphasizing his assessment that President Trump would be able to prevent the United States from becoming entangled in a prolonged military quagmire with unclear objectives.
U.S. military airstrikes targeted Iran's air defense systems; Trump ordered retaliation for the downing of an 'Apache' helicopter: The response must be very strong.
A U.S. Army Apache helicopter was shot down by a drone in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Trump to order airstrikes on Iranian air defense systems and radar installations. Central Command described the action as a 'proportionate response to unprovoked aggression.' The United States believes these strikes will not impede negotiations aimed at ending the conflict. Iran has warned it will respond resolutely.
U.S.-Iran Deal Shows Glimmer of Hope Amid Lingering Risks: White House Signals Positive Progress in Nuclear Talks, Trump Says U.S. Must Respond to Iran's Downing of American Helicopter, Israeli Military Prepares for Larger-Scale Strikes
According to Middle Eastern media, White House officials stated that negotiations aimed at preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons have yielded positive results. The Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said that strikes against Iran were preparatory for larger-scale attacks, and that the IDF would maintain a state of readiness to resume military operations against Iran at any time, while continuing to intensify its strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Pakistan rebuffs Trump: U.S.-Iran deal 'unlikely' within days as Israel completely disrupts peace talks
Trump expressed optimism, stating that the U.S. and Iran could reach a ceasefire agreement within 'two or three days,' but Pakistan—the key mediator—directly contradicted this claim, revealing that negotiations had collapsed due to Israel’s violation of the ceasefire terms and adding that it is now working with Middle Eastern partners to urge the U.S. to exert pressure on Israel.
Iranian Missiles Directly Target Israel: New Offensive Regional Ambitions Are Emerging
The latest round of direct clashes between Israel and Iran has further clarified Tehran's strategic intent: to expand its regional influence through missile strikes while demonstrating its continued capacity to retaliate effectively under pressure from the U.S. and Israel. Recent salvos of ballistic missiles are seen as a significant signal of Iran's attempt to alter the regional balance of power.
Following Trump's 'active mediation,' Iran announced that its strikes against Israel had 'come to a close,' but emphasized that the situation in Lebanon constitutes a red line that must not be crossed.
Iran announced a suspension of military action against Israel but emphasized that the situation in Lebanon constitutes a red line it will not allow to be crossed. Earlier, Trump revealed that both sides are seeking an immediate ceasefire, and until a 'final agreement' is reached, U.S. sanctions against Iran will 'remain in place and be fully enforced.'
Express News | Israel is attacking targets inside Iran.
Waller's first warning since taking office! Trump publicly stated: 'There is no reason to raise interest rates—the rate hike is intended to stifle our success.'
Trump publicly pressured Kevin Warsh, the central bank chief he personally nominated, to cut interest rates on the eve of Warsh’s first Federal Reserve policy meeting as chair.
Iran launched a 'warning strike' against Israel, which stated it 'will respond forcefully.' Trump warned Netanyahu, 'Do not retaliate—the U.S.-Iran deal is within reach.'
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran struck Ramat David Airbase in northern Israel with ballistic missiles. Trump stated that he was aware of the latest developments between Israel and Iran. He immediately intended to call Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to urge him not to retaliate. Trump said that a final agreement between the United States and Iran was “within reach” and expressed concern that “the current incident could derail the deal.” The IRGC described its strike on the Israeli airbase as a “warning.” According to Xinhua News Agency from Tehran on June 7, the Aerospace Force of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on the evening of the 7th saying that it had launched ballistic missiles at an Israeli airbase located in
The central bank is accelerating its gold purchases! It has increased its holdings for the 19th consecutive month, adding 320,000 troy ounces in May compared to April.
China's gold reserves stood at 74.96 million troy ounces (approximately 2,331.52 metric tons) as of the end of May, an increase of 3.2 million troy ounces (approximately 9.95 metric tons) from April's 74.64 million troy ounces (approximately 2,321.56 metric tons), marking the 19th consecutive month of gold accumulation.
Express News | The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the 19th consecutive month.
After strong nonfarm payroll data, Goldman Sachs 'surrenders': no longer expects the Fed to cut rates this year
Goldman Sachs believes that a triple push from tariffs, high oil prices, and AI-related demand will keep core PCE inflation above 3% in 2026. Given the Federal Reserve’s lack of urgency to cut rates, Goldman Sachs has abandoned its expectation for rate cuts this year, pushing the final two rate cuts to June and December 2027. It also raised the probability of a rate hike from 10% to 20% and considers 'holding rates steady' a reasonable alternative.
U.S. forces struck Iranian targets, prompting air defense alerts in Bahrain and Kuwait; Trump insisted he would soon 'disengage' from the conflict with Iran.
Tensions in the U.S.-Iran conflict continue to escalate, with Bahrain and Kuwait successively issuing nationwide air defense alerts. U.S. forces shot down four Iranian drones and conducted airstrikes on Iranian coastal radar installations, prompting Iran to retaliate with missile strikes targeting U.S. military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.
Gold erased all gains for 2026, silver plunged 8.5% in a single day, and strong U.S. employment data boosted expectations of rate hikes.
Markets have fully priced in a Federal Reserve rate hike by December, with the probability of a hike in October rising to 60%. Analysts note that gold faces dual headwinds from rising real yields and a stronger U.S. dollar; sharp declines in U.S. equities prompted some investors to reduce gold holdings to cover losses in other assets, exacerbating selling pressure. Gold prices fell as much as 3.6% on Friday.
Express News | Trump: The jobs report is very strong, and the stock market should be rising rather than falling.
Full Text of the U.S. May Nonfarm Payrolls Report: Employment Growth Driven by Food Services, Healthcare, and Local Government
U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 172,000 in May, significantly exceeding expectations, with prior two-month data revised upward by a combined 93,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%. Job gains were driven by the food services, healthcare, and local government sectors. Below is the full nonfarm payroll employment report.
May nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations, sharply increasing the probability of a Fed rate hike this year!
U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 172,000 in May, significantly exceeding expectations, prompting an immediate drop in gold prices. The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has risen to 63%. Economists noted that the current improvement in employment stems more from low layoff levels than from widespread hiring expansions by businesses.