E-micro Gold JUN8 (MGC2806) News

A 50-50 bet on a rate hike: Tonight at 20:30, CPI data may determine whether the Fed 'pulls the trigger' in September or continues to hold off

Traders are currently pricing in a roughly 50% probability of a rate hike in September. This means tonight’s CPI data could directly tip the balance. If the data aligns with expectations, the Federal Reserve may remain on hold; if it exceeds expectations, it could open the door to a series of consecutive rate hikes.

Golden10 Data09:15

Gold flashes a warning signal again after 103 trading days—tonight’s CPI data could act as the 'trigger' for a pullback.

Historical data show that gold returns have typically been weak following similar signals, and the upcoming U.S. CPI release may determine whether this rally pauses or continues upward.

Golden10 Data50minutes ago

Pakistan claims that the U.S. and Iran are close to reaching an agreement.

First loudly demanding compensation, then quietly making a breakthrough? Pakistan has released a major update: the U.S. and Iran are nearing an agreement of some kind.

Golden10 DataAug 11 22:33

Is the gold and silver bull market about to resume? Experts say the pullback is a 'normal fluctuation,' and the long-term risk-reward profile has improved!

① Maria Smirnov, Chief Investment Officer at Sprott Inc., stated that the recent decline in gold prices represents a normal correction within a bull market rather than a reversal of the trend, and that the outlook for silver remains highly attractive; ② She noted that factors such as rising sovereign debt, fiscal deficits, central bank gold purchases, and geopolitical fragmentation continue to underpin gold’s strategic role, and that fundamentals for precious metals mining equities remain robust.

cls.cnAug 11 15:20

Express News | Pakistan signals on U.S.-Iran talks: 'Close to reaching some kind of arrangement'

According to Reuters, Pakistani officials stated that signals from the United States and Iran indicate the two sides are 'close to reaching some kind of arrangement,' with developments moving in a peaceful direction. Meanwhile, according to Iran's Mehr News Agency, Pakistan's Interior Minister has arrived in Tehran for talks.

BreakingsAug 11 19:02

‘The New Fed Wire’ Issues Strong Warning: September Rate Hike Hinges on Inflation Data!

① The so-called 'New Fed Wire' stated that if the U.S. July CPI data released on Wednesday comes in mild, it would simultaneously ease the pressure on both Waller personally and the FOMC to raise interest rates—pressure stemming from their ongoing reassessment of whether they had underestimated the resilience of the U.S. economy. ② Conversely, if the data remains elevated, it could force him to demonstrate through concrete action the point he struggled last month to articulate clearly.

cls.cnAug 11 16:41

Dual Focus on Gold Price Elasticity and Robust Alpha: Allocation Strategy for Gold Jewelry and Gold Mining Stocks

International gold prices surpassed USD 4,400, with domestic futures rising sharply in tandem. Since August, the price of Gold/USD (XAUUSD.CFD) has accelerated upward, reaching a new high since June 2026. On the international front, London spot gold closed at USD 4,341.91 per ounce on August 7, briefly breaking through the USD 4,400 per ounce mark in early August, recording its largest weekly gain of over 7% year-to-date. Domestic gold futures followed suit with a significant rally; on August 7, Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) gold futures settled at RMB 936.76 per gram, up sharply from the previous day's close of RMB 910.40 per gram. The SWS Gold Index closed at 27,067 on the same day.

Zhang Yidong Strategy WorldAug 11 15:51

Castle Securities turns bullish on gold for the first time this year: five catalysts aligning could ignite gold prices

After months of dormancy, gold is once again capturing Wall Street's attention. Strategists at Citadel Securities believe that expectations of a Federal Reserve policy pivot, central bank gold purchases, short-covering, options market signals, and a return of retail investor flows will collectively propel the precious metal into a new upward cycle.

Golden10 DataAug 10 16:47

‘Gold bugs’ haven’t exited the market: Gold bulls await a shift in bond markets as bullish bets heat up

Weak nonfarm payrolls, stagnant 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, a retreating dollar—and an unexpected catalyst: Chinese retail investors are snapping up domestic gold ETFs. Is gold’s rebound truly underway?

Golden10 DataAug 10 10:35

Guojin Securities: The rebound in commodities has been confirmed, and the energy + metals basket is entering a broad-based upward phase.

GLH August 10 | According to a research report by Guojin Securities, since March, the market has focused on macroeconomic contradictions while overlooking the fact that changes in the AI industry chain are central to asset pricing. A similar misperception may be recurring: while investors remain preoccupied with the future trajectory of the AI sector, they might find that non-AI areas—such as physical assets and export-oriented businesses—have instead become the core drivers of market dynamics. Based on this view, the following recommendations are made: First, the rebound in commodities has been confirmed. The combined energy and metals complex is transitioning from an overall downtrend since March into a broad uptrend. Current ranking of resource assets: non-ferrous metals (gold, copper, aluminum), followed by energy (coal, oil & petrochemicals).

Gelonghui FinanceAug 10 08:17

Yields have declined amid falling crude oil prices and rising gold prices.

Weekly Overview: August 3–7. 10-year bond yield: High: 8.69%, Low: 8.365%, Close: 8.47%, week-on-week change: -3.03%. Yields declined, driven by lower crude oil prices and higher gold prices. Heightened expectations for an improvement in the Middle East situation pushed crude oil prices down at the start of the week, reportedly bolstering investor confidence in South African government bonds. Additionally, amid a global decline in sovereign bond yields, gold prices surged last week, providing further support for South African government bonds.

Fisco JapanAug 9 11:48

Rising oil prices fuel inflation, while weakening employment data dampens rate hike expectations—gold benefits from both sides.

Geopolitical tensions caused oil price volatility, fueling inflation expectations and boosting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven and store-of-value asset. Meanwhile, the unexpectedly weak U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for July dealt a sharp blow to interest rate hike expectations, driving both Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar lower. The combined effect of these two forces propelled gold to its best weekly performance in seven months. Additionally, ETF buying interest has concurrently rebounded—with global gold ETF holdings increasing by approximately 24 tonnes since July 20.

wallstreetcnAug 8 17:15

Gold Rallies Over 7%: UBS Sets $5,000 Price Target

Yahoo FinanceAug 8 04:25

Gold surges $300 in three days! A short squeeze unfolds, and the rally may be far from over—UBS Group calls for $5,000 an ounce by next year.

Previously, many CTA trend-following funds maintained short positions in gold. Now, as gold prices have broken through key levels, CTAs are cutting losses and turning net long. Meanwhile, a significant amount of speculative gold capital missed the current rally and may be forced to chase higher prices in the near term, potentially fueling a second wave of gains. UBS Group notes that declining U.S. Treasury yields, a medium-term weakening of the U.S. dollar, and sustained central bank gold purchases will drive gold prices to USD 5,000 by the first half of 2027.

wallstreetcnAug 7 22:50

US Economy Loses 23,000 Jobs, Gold Jumps 3%: What Do Prediction Markets Say About Rate Hikes?

Gold futures jumped roughly 3% to around $4,400 on Friday after the U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July—a shock miss against expectations for a gain of 83,000 that sent bets on another Federal

BenzingaAug 7 22:31

Surprise! U.S. nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in July, with previous two months' figures revised down by a total of 103,000, dampening expectations for further rate hikes.

Expected to rise by 80,000 but plunged by 23,000 instead! The latest U.S. nonfarm payroll data unexpectedly cooled significantly—has a September rate hike become nothing more than wishful thinking?

wallstreetcnAug 7 21:04

快讯 | 美国7月非农就业人数减少2.3万人，预期增加8.0万人，5月、6月合计下修10.3万人

US Jul. Non-Farm Payrolls -23000 Vs +80000 Forecast, Prior +20000; US Jul. Unemployment Rate 4.1% Vs 4.2% Forecast, Prior 4.2%

BreakingsAug 7 20:30

Is the gold bull market back? UBS Group: Gold prices could rebound to $5,000 in the first half of next year.

UBS Group believes that gold has three key medium- to long-term supports: renewed investment demand driven by declining real interest rates, a weaker U.S. dollar encouraging portfolio diversification, and sustained high-level gold purchases by central banks. It recommends viewing any pullback in gold prices to USD 4,000 as a strategic opportunity to establish positions. The chief strategist at BCA Research also noted that gold prices may have further upside potential and could even reach new record highs.

wallstreetcnAug 7 17:20

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report is set for release tonight at 20:30! Could weak data fuel rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut?

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for July will be released this Friday, with markets expecting an increase of 83,000 jobs and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. ② Recent leading indicators have been weak, and multiple institutions anticipate that July’s nonfarm payrolls will fall short of expectations; the current pattern of “low hiring, low layoffs” is significantly impacting young job seekers. ③ If labor market weakness persists, the Federal Reserve’s policy trade-off calculus could shift later this year.

cls.cnAug 7 08:57

Nonfarm payrolls arrive tonight at 20:30! Wall Street forecasts diverge: 18,000 or 80,000? Markets brace for high volatility.

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for July is set to be released tonight, with Wall Street forecasts ranging widely from 18,000 to 83,000, signaling imminent market volatility. With the Federal Reserve's policy path still uncertain and risks of Japanese yen intervention looming, the cost of dollar options has quietly risen to a recent high, as investors brace for potential surprises.

Golden10 DataAug 7 08:49