If the situation in the Middle East cannot ease soon…
The market remains significantly underpriced for a protracted Middle East conflict — should the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persist, crude oil prices could exceed $150 per barrel by the end of April, U.S. inflation may approach 5%, and global equities are likely to follow historical patterns of downturns triggered by supply shocks. Notably, the consumer, financial, and technology sectors face particularly pronounced risks. According to data from the Storm Chaser Trading Desk, a global strategy report released by UBS Group on March 13 indicates that even accounting for all alternative supply sources such as pipeline diversions and the release of strategic reserves, a sustained closure of the Strait of Hormuz would still result in a net daily shortfall of approximately 10 million barrels in the global crude oil market. Based on current
Global Forex and Fixed Income Roundup: Market Talk
Decision Analysis: CME Outage Impacts ‘Black Friday’! Major Shift in Fed Rate Cut Expectations; Japan May Raise Rates as Early as Next Month
As expectations for an upcoming interest rate cut by the US have reignited, easing valuation pressures and driving US Treasury bonds to rise for the fourth consecutive month, Asian stocks on Friday (November 28) are poised to close out a challenging November on a relatively stronger note.
How much did you miss in the key market intelligence on November 10?
1. On-chain Capital: $16.0M flowed into Hyperliquid today; $33.1M flowed out of Ethereum. 2. Largest Gains and Losses: $STRK, $BURN. 3. Top News: A resolution to the U.S. government shutdown appears on the horizon, but serious divisions persist within the Democratic Party over the 'compromise bill.'
As the U.S. government is about to reopen, Bitcoin is finally set to rise.
A small bull market may be about to begin.
Decision Analysis: The rebound in China's stock market is spreading! Trump’s tariffs face a major test as expectations for Fed rate cuts continue to decline.
Asian stocks rose on Thursday (November 6), partially recovering from the previous session's losses, after better-than-expected U.S. economic data attracted investors back to markets near record highs.