Weekly Outlook: Risk of renewed US-Israel-Iran conflict escalates! Is gold approaching a turning point?
The US and Israel are reportedly considering restarting strikes against Iran as early as next week, putting gold bulls in a precarious position! Amid surging bond market expectations of 'rate hikes,' the last set of meeting minutes from the 'Powell era' is about to be released. Are US stocks poised for a brief pullback or the start of a repricing trend?
Goldman Sachs: The biggest threat to the current market is the 'Iran risk combined with an interest rate storm,' and even if the stock market rises further, volatility will increase.
The market has significantly underpriced the tail risk associated with Iran, and once optimistic expectations are hit by a larger shock, the repricing will be more severe.
Express News | Russian President Putin will pay a state visit to China.
The global bond market sell-off has impacted risk assets, with U.S. Treasury yields surpassing 4.5% and technology stocks leading declines in the U.S. equity market.
Global bond markets faced a sharp sell-off this week, beginning to spill over into risk asset markets that had previously been rallying strongly.
Global inflation intensifies the bond market storm, shaking the foundation of the stock market bull run; 'Everything now depends on oil.'
The global inflation fears triggered by the Hormuz stalemate have forced markets to bet on Fed rate hikes, with long-term bond yields in the US, Japan, and the UK surging to multi-year highs. Meanwhile, high borrowing costs pose a serious threat to high-valuation stock markets, causing a rupture in the logic of global major asset classes, and market direction now hinges entirely on whether oil supply risks can be alleviated.
Top 20 by trading volume | Microsoft rose 3% against the trend, Ackman heavily invested in AI; chip stocks plummeted, with NVIDIA falling over 4%, Intel and Micron dropping approximately 6%; Tesla fell nearly 5%; ARK Invest positions in Cerebras.
The top traded stock on the US market on Friday fell by 4.42%. Whale Rock Capital Management, a Boston-based hedge fund, filed a 13F report with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Friday, disclosing changes in its holdings as of the end of the first quarter of 2026. The document revealed that the fund made significant adjustments to its technology stock portfolio during the first quarter: establishing new positions in Apple and Microsoft while substantially reducing its holdings in NVIDIA, a stock that has been highly sought after in recent years.