Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq Futures Face Pressure as Brent Nears $108 and FOMC Commences Two-Day Meet— MSTR, CRWD, BMM in Focus
U.S. stock futures declined Tuesday as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices fell following Monday's lower close.The Federal Open Market Committee's two-day meeting will commence, with all
Have chip stocks become a "pain trade"? Wall Street shifts bets to the next beneficiary sector.
The AI security storm has suddenly reshaped Wall Street trading. Investors are recalibrating for another scenario: if model‑training slows, the market for computing power could cool, while identity management, data governance, and cybersecurity may instead enter a phase of heightened spending.
September FOMC countdown! Standard Chartered: Raising interest rates remains a "wrong policy choice"; the real test will come at Chairman Powell's press conference.
Standard Chartered believes that core inflation pressures may be overstated and that raising interest rates remains a "misguided policy choice": tariffs have added roughly 0.7 percentage points to the PCE, but their impact is expected to fade; headline‑excluding CPI has returned to its normal range, suggesting limited upward pressure on the consumer side. In July, only three voting members supported a rate hike, and current data are still insufficient to prompt additional committee members to shift their stance. A more prudent approach would be to wait for the tariff‑related shock and any revisions to the data to subside before reassessing the inflation trajectory.
AI trading loses momentum! Goldman Sachs warns of the largest divergence in momentum trading in five years, with capital shifting from chips to software.
Goldman Sachs warns that AI-related trading is facing a structural test, as the divergence between 3-month and 12-month momentum performance reaches a five-year extreme, with the AI index retracting
Rate hikes are already priced in—what else should we watch for at this FOMC meeting?
Inflation and oil prices have pushed the probability of a rate hike to nearly 90 percent—how will Warsh respond to the White House's calls for lower interest rates?
Probability of No Rate Hike Is Extremely Low! JPMorgan: An Analysis of Five Scenarios for the Fed’s Decision
①The Federal Reserve will announce its interest-rate decision at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday. Market participants currently widely expect Fed policymakers to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points, to 3.75%–4.00%; ②In response, Jay Barry, Global Head of Rates Strategy at JPMorgan, outlined five possible scenarios for the Fed this week in his latest research report…
ECB Vice President sounds "bubble alarm": AI asset valuations are "very high," and equity markets are vulnerable to corrections.
ECB Vice President Vujčić warned that AI-driven asset rallies are prone to pullbacks. Zhitong Finance APP learned that European Central Bank Vice President Boris Vujcic warned that the surge in
Global bond markets are facing a "perfect storm": the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has surged above 5%, hitting its highest level since 2007.
Behind the U.S. Treasury yield breaching 5% lies the combined impact of soaring oil prices, expanding government debt, and an AI‑related financing boom. JPMorgan warns that if yields rise to 5.25%, equity markets will "clearly struggle to absorb" the move. Market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve's decision Wednesday, with the probability of a rate hike now exceeding 90%; analysts expect the 10-year yield could climb further toward 5.5%.
Stock Futures Fall as Fed Rate-Hike Bets Rise, Oil Prices Climb
Goldman Sachs Head of Hedge Fund Strategy: “Zero-Day Options” Suppress U.S. Equity Volatility; Technology and Energy Remain Top Picks
The S&P 500 has posted intraday volatility below 1% for 27 consecutive trading days, marking the longest stretch of low volatility since the pandemic began. Goldman Sachs warns that this "calm" is the result of a zero‑date options strategy forcibly locking in market pricing; once a catalyst emerges, the pent-up volatility will erupt all at once. Meanwhile, expectations of a September rate hike are rising, market sentiment has fallen to a year‑to‑date low, and risks to fiscal sustainability loom large—how much longer must this simmering pot keep boiling?
Is the U.S. stock market poised for another 2018‑style sell-off? Strategists warn that if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the S&P 500 could retreat by as much as 10%.
①Macro Risk Advisors LLC warns that the Federal Reserve's rate-hike cycle, which could begin this week, may trigger a 8% to 10% pullback in the S&P 500 and could lead to a second wave of declines in December. ②Dean Curnutt, the firm's founder and CEO, notes that the current market environment bears strong similarities to 2018, making a defensive stance the prudent approach at this juncture.
"New Fed Communicator": Waller Has "No Room for Retreat" on Rate Hike; Trump's "Trust" Faces Test
Nick Timiraos believes that, following the August CPI figure's stronger-than-expected reading, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this week has surged, while Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation has left him with virtually "no room to retreat." With just seven weeks before the election, whether Warsh raises rates will directly test how long Trump's "trust" in him can endure. Previously, Warsh maintained a balance between the White House and the Fed through a strategy of "speaking less and avoiding provocation"; after this meeting, silence will no longer serve as a shield.
Reuters: China and the United States are preparing for AI safety talks in mid-September.
Two sources told Reuters that the United States and China are preparing to hold a dialogue in mid-September to discuss the security risks of artificial intelligence (AI). As cutting-edge AI capabilities advance rapidly and reach a critical global inflection point, the significance of this dialogue is steadily growing.
CrowdStrike, Bank of America, Microsoft, Zscaler and Corning: Why These 5 Stocks Are on Investors' Radars Today
Major U.S. stock indices closed lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.29% to 52,421.20, the S&P 500 declining 0.48% to 7,619.98 and the Nasdaq Composite slipping 0.56% to 26
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has broken through 5%! Two competing narratives are gripping the market: "a brief peak in the style of 2023" or "a financial crisis triggered in the manner of the 2000s"?
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields surged above 5% during overnight trading, hitting their highest level since 2007, before easing slightly. Escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven oil prices higher, inflation data have come in stronger than expected, and the federal debt stands at a staggering $40 trillion—multiple headwinds have converged, leaving markets sharply divided: Is 5% merely a temporary peak, or the starting point of a prolonged era of elevated interest rates?
Futu Morning Brief | Trump Slams AI Panic; Jensen Huang Says AI Innovation and Safety Are Not Mutually Exclusive; U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as JPMorgan Turns Bullish: Corporate Earnings Can Still Support the Market; Apple Releases iOS 27, New Siri AI Enters Public Beta
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has broken through 5%, with Goldman Sachs and TD Securities raising their year-end forecasts; Trump said he is willing to negotiate with Iran, while a senior Iranian official stated: "We will never negotiate unless our conditions are met."
Canadian Prime Minister: A U.S.-Canada trade deal remains possible, with August's breakdown clarifying "red lines"
Trump stated on Saturday that an agreement with Canada could arrive "quite soon." Canadian Prime Minister Carney welcomed the remark, noting that "Canada and the United States share very deep
Top 20 in Trading Volume | Google, Meta, and Palantir rose 3% against the market trend; Apple's Siri AI has officially entered public beta testing; NVIDIA's customer concentration is rapidly increasing; Tesla's Roadster, delayed for a decade, finally unveiled.
On Monday, NVIDIA, the No. 1 stock by trading volume on U.S. markets, closed down 3.36%. NVIDIA, Palantir, and Booz Allen Hamilton have begun restricting internal use of Anthropic's AI models. The main concern among these companies is that employees might input sensitive information—such as internal code and intellectual property—into external AI models, potentially exposing it to the model providers or even allowing them to learn from such data.
U.S. Market Close: Concerns over an AI slowdown dragged the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down 6%, with major equity indices falling in tandem. Cybersecurity stocks CRWD and PANW surged 13%, while BUG rose over 10%. Gold and silver faced pressure, Bitcoin strengthened, and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury briefly breached 5%.
NVIDIA fell 3.4%, and Intel dropped 5.6%. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose above 5.00% during trading for the first time since October 2023, just one step away from its highest level since 2002. WTI crude oil briefly approached $105 per barrel during the session, U.S. diesel prices hit a record high of $6.23 per gallon, and European natural gas prices climbed 4%, breaking through €84 per megawatt-hour.
Stock Futures Are Little Changed as Traders Eye Rising Oil Prices and Rates
The major averages closed lower on Monday as higher bond yields and oil prices kept the market under pressure.