Looking back at the Russia-Ukraine conflict period, strategists have unanimously recommended the optimal strategy for the current environment: cash is king!
①Goldman Sachs strategists advise investors to hold cash and purchase call options to hedge against market volatility caused by the conflict between the United States and Iran; ②Due to rising energy prices and a disappointing employment report, hopes for the U.S. economy returning to its golden era have largely faded, with Deutsche Bank also advocating a “cash is king” strategy; ③Some analysts warn that investors should not rush to buy the dip prematurely, as the market may experience further declines.
The Iran conflict triggered a surge in the probability of a U.S. stock market crash, prompting hedge funds to aggressively increase their short positions.
Senior strategist Ed Yardeni has raised the probability of a market crash for the remainder of this year from 20% to 35%, citing the escalating conflict in Iran that is impacting global markets. Meanwhile, data from Goldman Sachs shows that hedge funds are increasing their bearish bets on the U.S. stock market at a pace not seen in nearly five years.