In the past three years, 525 funds across the market have doubled in value! Several mid-sized asset management firms have emerged as dark horses.
① As of May 31 this year, 525 hybrid funds in the entire market (with classes A and C counted separately) have doubled their returns over the past three years; ② The average three-year return of hybrid funds managed by Caitong Fund reached 125.83%, with Huashang Fund, Cinda Austar Fund, and Morgan Fund also emerging as top performers.
Amid repeated warnings of high premiums and trading halts, why are the Chip LOF and China-Korea Semiconductor ETF still being aggressively bid up?
① Exchange-traded funds such as the Global Semiconductor LOF and the China-Korea Semiconductor ETF have once again exhibited high premiums, while actively managed equity LOFs like Caitong Fuxin also show signs of premium risk; ② Profitability appeal, product scarcity, limited on-exchange shares, and redemption restrictions collectively drive up secondary market trading prices; ③ A high premium does not equate to high returns—if market sentiment cools or premiums contract, investors who bought at elevated levels may incur additional losses.
[Data Snapshot] Retail traders and quantitative funds jointly bought shares of a popular superhard materials stock; Tongfu Microelectronics saw a fierce $2.4 billion buying battle on the Dragon & Tiger List
① Sinomach Precision Co., Ltd. surged to its daily trading limit today, with Guotai Junan Securities Wuhan Ziyang East Road Branch buying RMB 176 million and Kaitong Securities Xi'an Taihua Road Branch purchasing RMB 108 million. ② Tongfu Microelectronics, an advanced packaging concept stock, hit its daily trading limit today, receiving institutional purchases totaling RMB 260 million from three institutions, RMB 828 million from Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, RMB 325 million and RMB 202 million from two speculative funds respectively, and RMB 98 million from a quantitative fund.
Which mutual fund firms are aggressively poaching top talent? Fund managers are no longer switching jobs based solely on compensation.
① Leading asset management firms are intensifying efforts to recruit in-house talent, while some bank-affiliated and smaller asset managers face mounting pressure from talent attrition; ② Compensation is no longer the sole factor guiding fund managers’ choice of employer—platform strength, investment research capabilities, and career development opportunities are increasingly becoming central considerations in their job transitions.
The first batch of public fund benchmark adjustments takes effect today. Key point: this is a benchmark adjustment, not a portfolio rebalancing—such misconceptions should be clarified.
① Starting June 1, the first batch of adjustments to performance benchmarks for publicly offered funds will be implemented, covering 195 products from 12 fund management companies. ② According to the guidelines, the revised benchmarks will better align with the funds’ stated investment objectives and actual portfolio styles, rather than prompting portfolio rebalancing merely due to benchmark changes. ③ Why is the essence of this rectification not about 'reducing positions'? And why is its market impact considered limited? Our reporter investigates on the ground.
The profit-making effect is expected to improve—can the market gather momentum for another breakout? This week's top ten brokerages' strategies are here.
① How will the market unfold when high sentiment meets high crowding? ② It is crowding that needs to be digested, not the bull market coming to an end; ③ The longer the consolidation phase, the more positive factors will be reflected in the subsequent major market move; ④ In June, the market will oscillate while awaiting the moment of validation.
Cui Dongshu: Total demand in the lithium battery industry rose 51% year-on-year in January–April, driven by both energy storage and exports.
Overall, the explosive growth in exports and energy storage applications has effectively offset the slowdown in domestic retail sales, sustaining high industry sentiment. Lithium battery manufacturers are now expanding their growth prospects into diversified global scenarios, including overseas energy storage markets and automotive exports.
A wave of high-performing funds is imposing purchase limits! Why are better-performing funds more likely to restrict purchases?
① Restrictions on purchases of top-performing funds have intensified this year; excluding funds with lock-up periods or fixed-term openings, 44 out of 305 funds delivering returns exceeding 50% have imposed purchase limits. ② Since May, funds such as Founder Fullgoal Core Advantage, GF Visionary Selection, and CTF Growth Preferred have successively tightened subscription rules. ③ Industry participants believe these restrictions aim to control fund size, prevent investors from chasing high returns, and safeguard investor interests and strategy capacity.
Global 'K-shaped divergence': 'Silicon-based inflation' vs. 'carbon-based deflation'—will bubbles burst after extreme compression?
Zheshang Securities believes the global economy is currently undergoing a clear 'K-shaped divergence': prices across the AI supply chain are rising across the board, and 'silicon-based inflation' is spreading globally—U.S. semiconductor producer price index (PPI) has hit a record high, while South Korea’s memory chip prices have surged nearly tenfold this year. Simultaneously, 'carbon-based deflation' is deepening in parallel—as AI-driven job displacement continues to dampen consumer confidence. If this polarization persists through 2027 and downstream AI profitability fails to materialize, it could trigger a burst of the AI bubble—not only posing risks to tech stocks but also spilling over into the creditworthiness of the U.S. dollar and Treasury securities.
Reaching a new all-time high, the total assets under management of public funds surpassed RMB 39 trillion for the first time, absorbing capital shifts from bank deposits, with two types of funds experiencing sharp growth.
① Total assets under management (AUM) of publicly offered funds reached RMB 39.36 trillion at the end of April, surpassing the RMB 39 trillion mark for the first time, an increase of RMB 1.82 trillion from RMB 37.53 trillion at the end of March; ② Money market fund AUM grew by over RMB 640 billion in April, while bond fund AUM increased by more than RMB 510 billion; ③ Hybrid fund AUM rose by over RMB 390 billion, equity fund AUM grew by more than RMB 160 billion, and FOF and QDII fund AUM also expanded.
The larger the asset management firm, the greater the challenge it faces from shrinking assets, and the non-money ETF rankings are undergoing a reshuffle.
① The gap in non-money ETF assets under management between the top-ranked and second-ranked managers has continued to narrow, falling within RMB 14 billion; ② A similar trend is evident between the third- and fourth-ranked managers, with leading firms already moving up in rankings since May; ③ Factors such as the scale contraction of broad-based ETFs and strategic positioning in sector- and theme-specific ETFs have become significant influences.
Follow retail investors! Goldman Sachs: Local retail investors are underpinning the current Asian equity market rebound.
Goldman Sachs believes that domestic retail investors are becoming a key marginal pricing force in Asian equity markets. While South Korea’s market has seen $62 billion in foreign outflows, it has still posted cumulative gains of over 80%, with domestic capital largely absorbing the selling pressure. Moreover, although current leverage levels remain elevated, they have not yet reached extreme levels and do not pose a systemic risk. The foreign outflows reflect portfolio rebalancing rather than bearish sentiment, and multi-dimensional support from retail participation remains a core pillar of the market.
The RMB 800 billion bond ETF market receives a boost, as the scope of eligible securities for participation in pledged repo transactions expands and its status as high-quality collateral is clarified.
① The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges issued a notice revising the rules and accompanying guidelines for negotiated repurchase transactions. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has included bond ETFs within the scope of eligible collateral for negotiated repurchases, while the Shanghai Stock Exchange explicitly recognized them as high-quality collateral, which is expected to enhance trading activity and market liquidity for bond ETFs. ② According to Wind data, there are currently 53 bond ETFs in the market, with total assets under management amounting to RMB 806.7 billion.
[Data Snapshot] CSI 300 ETF sees shares decline for three consecutive weeks; over RMB 1 billion in funds flows into leading semiconductor stocks on the STAR Market
① Shares of multiple CSI 300-related ETFs declined significantly, with Huatai-Pepperstone CSI 300 ETF (510300) experiencing substantial outflows for three consecutive weeks. Last week alone, its shares decreased by 2.3 billion units, the largest reduction among all funds, and its total share reduction over the past three weeks exceeded 8 billion units. ② SMIC received a purchase of RMB 681 million from one institutional investor, while two quantitative funds bought RMB 362 million and RMB 193 million, respectively.
Industrial Securities: This week, the consumer electronics, semiconductor equipment, and robotics sectors led gains, with their crowding score percentiles rising in tandem.
The AI-driven market rally continues, with consumer electronics, semiconductor equipment, and robotics sectors leading the gains. However, crowding metrics have simultaneously risen, potentially increasing trading difficulty ahead. This week, the broad semiconductor index rose by 7.53%, with its crowding level reaching an absolute high at the 100th percentile; the semiconductor equipment sub-index gained 7.43%, a moderation from last week's 15.96% surge, while its crowding metric climbed by 19.9 percentage points to the 88.2nd percentile.
[Data Snapshot] Speculative funds flock to popular green energy stocks; multiple investor groups jointly buy Desay SV
① Yunneng Holding surged with two limit-ups in three days, with three speculative capital accounts—Guotai Haitong Securities Sanya Yingbin Road, Guotai Haitong Securities Chengdu North Yihuan Road, and Guotai Haitong Securities Wuhan Ziyang East Road—buying shares worth RMB 379 million, RMB 189 million, and RMB 171 million, respectively. ② The intelligent driving concept strengthened against the market trend, with Desay SVW hitting its daily trading limit. It received institutional purchases totaling RMB 145 million from three institutions, RMB 226 million from Shenzhen-HK Stock Connect, and an additional RMB 53 million from a quantitative fund.
The crude oil LOF fund has surged in popularity, with its net asset value rising by as much as 86% this year; recent premium risks have somewhat eased.
① Since April alone, LOF funds linked to crude oil have issued more than 100 premium risk warning announcements, making it an almost daily occurrence. ② Geopolitical developments in the Strait of Hormuz remain the key variable shaping global crude oil supply expectations, with ongoing tensions continuing to provide upward momentum to oil prices.
U.S. Markets Close | Inflation concerns remain elevated, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posting a third consecutive day of declines; optical communications stocks rose against the trend, with ALAB surging over 13% and Marvell Technology gaining more than 4%;
Most U.S. equity sector ETFs closed lower, with the airline industry ETF down 2.90%, and the financials ETF, internet stock index ETF, and consumer discretionary ETF each falling 1.11%. The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 5.18%, reaching its highest level since just before the global financial crisis of 2007. The 10-year yield also climbed by 7 basis points to 4.66%, marking its highest level since January 2025. The U.S. Dollar Index gained 0.4%, rising above its 200-day moving average for the first time in six weeks.
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Will AI continue to gain momentum? Prominent investment bank predicts the S&P 500 could rise to 9,000 points by year-end!
① Prominent U.S. investment bank Evercore ISI forecasts that the S&P 500 index will rise to 7,750 points by the end of the year, with a 30% probability of reaching 9,000 points in a bull market scenario; ② Despite concerns over global inflation triggered by Middle East conflicts and surging crude oil prices, Emanuel remains optimistic, arguing that the collision between a technology-driven structural bull market and geopolitical transformations has increased the likelihood of extreme outcomes.