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The market is focused on AI and Hong Kong stocks! How should options for Tencent and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation be handled?
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The market is on the lookout for AI! Keep an eye on Hong Kong stocks!
It's going to get really hot, so it's more like that in the near term. INCIDENTALLY, THE NVIDIA H20 WAS SOLD WIDELY IN CHINA PRIOR TO THE LAUNCH OF THE AI MOBILE PROGRAM IN THE UNITED STATES, AND THE WORLD ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CONFERENCE IN 2025 WILL TAKE PLACE. The tree holds the weight of the Ai, the strong physical properties of Ai, and the Edo Ai area, and the fire can't be seen before.
On the other hand, the recent trend of Hong Kong stocks is also worthy of attention. $Hang Seng Index(800000.HK)$ Return 25000 points, $TENCENT(00700.HK)$ The stock prices of such giants have also made gradual highs in the previous days, $SMIC(00981.HK)$ 、 $HUA HONG SEMI(01347.HK)$ These types of AI precision semiconductors have also performed well in advance periods of time.
In response to the sentiment of Hong Kong stocks this year: DeepSeek's major model release in March 1-March led to a surge in the Ai race, a decline after a severe tax shock in April, a further recovery in the resilience situation, and the trend continues in July. The market is in structural sentiment, with more growth in the Consumer Spending, Innovation, Pharmaceutical Financing Sectors, and Network Technology and AI stocks regrouping in July.

Why can Hong Kong stocks rise? From the angle of market consolidation, the risk advantage of the market appears to have increased as tax issues have eased. Because of the change in the USD, the RMB is stronger, the RMB of Hong Kong stock companies is showing more value, and it can be seen that profits change more, and the current prices of these companies seem to be more expensive, so that all kinds of foreign information can be bought. There are two important points in terms of mobility:
One is that the Hong Kong HKEx has moved towards market volatility, with a monthly investment of HK$129.4 billion in May, keeping with a certain HKED-US Exchange Rates target, the highest it has been in almost ten years. This may be due to the volatility of the large IPOs supported by Contemporary Amperex Technology, Pharmaceutical and Honey Group, which is causing the IPO market to become increasingly hot.
Another is the Crazy Buy of Southside Funds. The net inflow of funds to the South increased this year, with a net inflow of HK$840 billion as of July 29, and over HK$807.869 billion in 2024, setting a new all-time high of net inflow for the year.
Again, what are the main reasons behind the rise in the shares of this wheel Technology? Exclude the above mentioned improvement in volatility, improved market environment, and Exchange Rates changes, not to mention the AIs described above.
WHILE NVIDIA MAY SELL THE H20 CHIP ON THE MARKET, THE SHORT-TERM RESULTS ARE FAR FROM BEING SEEN, WHILE THE BENEFITS OF CHINA'S AI INDUSTRY ARE FAR FROM BEING SIGNIFICANT BENEFITS, CHINESE AI-RELATED ENTERPRISES ARE DEFINITELY UPWARD IN TERMS OF INVESTMENT AND INNOVATION PERFORMANCE, SO OUR FUTURE GAINS WILL BE GREATER Valuable waiting parts.
NVIDIA'S SHARE PRICE, WHICH IS HEADED BY A RECENT RENEWED HIGH, MAY BE USEFUL FOR HONG KONG EQUITY FIRMS. Unbeknownst to most people, progress on the Chinese side has already begun to unfold.
Whether it's Ali's sensible questions, Tencent's treasure trove or the speedy Kellin', the influence is expanding, and the policy dividends and commercialization of Tencent CodeBuddy (a fully-integrated AI development platform) have already been realized. Kimi has also made a technological breakthrough, and there are currently three big killers: the math apologist k0-math, the audible audio model Kimi-Audio, and the smart brain Kimi K2.
AI-Short Drama, AI Education, and AI are closely aligned with commercialization applications, and domestic policy continues to drive AI technology applications in Medical and Urban Management arenas. It can be seen that the valuation of AI enterprises has started from the technological horizon and shifted towards the profit forecast.
In hindsight, how will the AI Sector of Hong Kong stocks look like? The risk points are that the external policy environment, the economic environment, market volatility, market competition, and performance are equally uncertain. Opportunities include the continued stress and commercialization of AI technology, policy support, a dynamic outlook for tourism that could benefit, operational accuracy and value-oriented technology taps that have the potential to receive green money, such as shares related to the AI Industry Chain.

Opportunities for Hong Kong stocks, how to use options?
Below, we take a look at how to use options strategy strategy to capture relevant opportunities by selecting a stock from the 2 main areas of AI Concept Stocks.
Note: The following is for investment education purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.
AI MODEL: TENCENT CONTROLLER
$TENCENT(00700.HK)$ The company's fundamentally stable Q2 performance against the market is a predictor of steady growth. It expects that its gaming and advertising business will continue to be the core driver, while keeping an eye on its cloud computing numbers and its business development on the AI side (including AI capabilities in the micro-IT ecosystem and AI application for the game level.
From a technical point of view, MACD extended the bearish pattern line to July 29, the RSI-like Short-term Indicators indicated a slight overshoot, the current trend is an uptrend reversal, the 30-day line points to the left and right of HK$515, and the Fibonese Resistance indicates a large pullback line at around 50454 Resistance of Hong Kong Dollar, however, is not far from these positions at the moment.

On the financial side, there has been a net inflow of capital stocks over the past few days. Institutions holding Holding Positions are relatively stable, Senior Airline, Senior Aviation, and Blackrock and BleddBlackrock institutions have a combined holding ratio of more than 8%.

Looking at options, IVs have risen recently, and this indicates that the market's volatility is expected to be stronger. The current IVs have not been elevated in historical waves, due to the low level in habitation. Q2 RESULTS WILL BE WELCOMED IN AUGUST, AND IV IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GROW. Since the end of September of this year and before, the most current Hold Positions are currently holding positions with an option price of 480-500 and an option put of 480-500 and an execution price of 540-570 and a call period of call options of 540-570.

* Inflation IV is the timing of the market's volatility range over the next period of time. IF THE IVV IS 30%, IT INDICATES THAT THE RANGE OF PRICE RISES AND FALLS WITHIN 30% WITHIN THE NEXT PERIOD OF THE MARKET EXPECTANCY. The relationship between the option price and the IVP usually implies that the option price will rise higher under other circumstances. The HV is the actual volatility of the stock price over a period of time.
On the Unusual Options Activity screen, you can see a large L for a Sell option (Put) at the price of HK$500, indicating more or no falls.
Based on this background information, which options strategy is better suited?
For example, based on the futures of the upside, the Bull Call Spread can be used to buy the Bull Call Spread (this strategy consists of buy call and sell call, so call is based on the profit from the rally and sell call is more about lowering the cost.
Or, a short put strategy can be substituted for a short put option based on a no-put future and an IV rise. This is the case with a view to making an offer to the market: if the share price is below the execution price, you are obliged to buy Stock Shares at the Rights Price, or if the Stock Price is not lower than the Authority Price directly to the Term Price, then if the Stock Price is not lower than the Operating Price directly to the Term Price, Go to options money.
Read more about the operational development of the Span Short Put strategy.
1, How to choose an executive price? You can consider the Market Resistance, if you want to buy the Stocks, then your Target Buy Price is a reference value.
2, When does it work? So, how do I choose a date? Since the expectation to IVs can continue to rise, if you want to Sell at a better price, you can get the boost to a higher position again. Until the date, for example: the August maturity can be fixed more quickly, the September maturity can be reduced to the selection of thicker option money, and greater downside protection (because the immediate term share price falls behind the execution price may not be subordinated), but there is a risk that the wave needs to be contracted for a longer period Risk.
3. How to operate specifically? For an example of a Put of HK$500, which matured on 29 September, see the figure below.

On the other chart 1, before clicking on the Trade button, you can see the loss analysis of the due date. Before the date, the outgoing Put will change depending on the changes in the share price, IV, and time, making it a common operation at the right time.
It is not recommended to pay more attention to the Volume and Buy Price Differences of the following options before tool operation to avoid potential volatility risks. Alternatively, click on the icon in the lower right corner of Figure 3 to preview the cost and warranty usage of the pen operation. The number of blanks can be seen directly above this symbol.
4. What is the different situation after the sale?
——The best case is if the stock price is higher than the management price, or if it is already far above the management price in the near term: If you are able to take all or most of the recipient's share of the royalties received at the exit, there is no chance of a fall in the expected income.
——Neutrality means that the share price is lower than the operating price, but higher than your net cost price: You may be entitled to buy shares at an exercise price (about HK$500). If Your Actual Purchase Cost = Authority Price (500) - Received Royalties (Holiday Setup HK$4.88) =495.12 HKD. If you do not calculate the Trade Fee, then there is a profit, see if the share price is higher than this value.
The worst case scenario is that the share price is far below your net cost price: you still need to pick up at the exercise price, and the pickup cost is much higher than the market price, resulting in significant losses. Losses are theoretically unlimited (as the share price can fall to near 0), but are actually limited to the value of Tencent itself. Max Loss = 500 × Contract Multiplier (Usually 100 Shares) - Received Royalties.
To control good risks, it is best to use this strategy to ensure the transfer of money to a well-funded employee. The Covered Call strategy (i.e., the simultaneous short a call with the right stock) can be used to repurchase the right share, forming a rolling revenue chain of Put→Covered Call until the actual transaction takes place.
Semiconductor: Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation
Fundamentally, $SMIC(00981.HK)$ It is China's most advanced technology manufacturing plant in China, accelerated by domestic alternatives, expansion of production, growth of AI/Cars/Industrial demand and policy support, which can limit the range of technological methods, productivity utilization, and progress due to the risks of favorable foreign policy. A good improvement in the efficiency of the process equipment is relevant for the market.
On the concurrent performance side, it can be explained that the income and gross margin in the first half due to the recovery in profit may be better than indicated. Company expects Q2 revenue decline of 4%-6% (based on Q1 revenue of USD 2.247 billion), with a gross margin forecast of 18%-20%, compared to 22.5% in Q1. If the result can be delayed, it can be profitable, but if the result is not expected, then it can be profitable.

From a technical point of view, the share price will continue to stand on the 5/10/20/20 line at the time of the September 29 cash register, and the share price will continue to rise above the Bling Line at HK$53,169. Short Term Indicators are not followed by KDJ-like, indicating a short term overbought signal.
On the same note, the closer to the earnings release date of China Semiconductor International Corporation, the market forecast for the share price surge after the results was greater than that of ± 9.48% before the July 29 issue (the information was ±5.49%), and the actual momentum of the stock price was mostly spread over the past three quarters. Not expected.

As of the July 29 issue, options IV is currently at 48% in its history, but it is not extreme in the recent period. The undertaking/buying ratio has recently fallen at relative lows, reflecting the market sentiment a lot.

Based on this information, what is the right options strategy? Now that options have a certain operability towards the option options of Buy (Long or Short) or Short, use the chart below for a simple explanation.

If it is you, which strategy are you more inclined towards?
Today'sThe practice of trading optionsThe content is here, have any ideas, welcome to communicate!