The 'September Curse' of the U.S. stock market has arrived! Red Hill Screw shares its coping strategies.

The three major U.S. stock indexes peaked last month, and investors may need to take off their Seat Belts due to the September slump.

In the past, the market has been vocal in recommending a sell-off of US stocks, so will US stocks continue their previous downtrend this September, or will they be able to continue “how long or not to empty” regardless of historical trends?

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Analysis of the historical performance and causes of “The Curse of September”

Half of 2025 has passed, and by September, the Magnificent will not be born in September. Someone pointed out that September is the least expensive month in a US stock year, and this explanation is irrelevant. Statistics, Since 1927, September $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ The average return is the worst in history, falling by an average of 1.2%, and positive gains in the remaining 10 months except February and September, while the index is more likely to fall by more than 5% in September.

There has been little analysis of the appearance of the Marsupial in September. Due to the end of the performance period in August, many Institutions are subject to a change in the configuration of their investment portfolios and benchmarks after a corporate performance review in September, and the market may change accordingly. In addition, companies and foundations will announce in September that various investors or Institutions will choose to Sell Shares before the Issue of Shares on a tax basis. Outside of this, with a full vacation, the start of the new school year, a lot of support for parents in their children's school business, plus travel support for the holiday period reverberated on credit card bills in September, in the face of financial pressures and increased cash flow, investors may choose to sell shares in September, using the convenience of the market. Sales pressure.

In addition to these factors, the market also had a lot of weighty data released in September, such as non-farm employment numbers, inflation data, and the Fed's closely watched outcome, which added to the uncertainty in the market.

Hung Hom Screwdriver's Real-Life Experience and Reflections

Share his operational history in early August (the following is the conclusion from the guest):

After seeing the finger-pointing drop to a historic high, plus $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ Poor performance, the situation of the reduction is not clear, and the information stored in the media is inaccurate, which determines the US shares. By using the Futures Gap Indicator, the options are Blank Indicators, and the total investment is about 2 million in the Bearish part. Although the market trend is in line with the forecast, the final loss is close to 2 million. Recognize your strategy is more than motivated, especially following a market crash, not seeing a rebound after a crash, leading to wheel failure, and noting the bad things at the same time. If you can scatter the code at the same time, or enter the market several minutes later, there is an opportunity to make up for losses in the US stocks.

On a psychological level, the loss in about 2 weeks is huge, the time is too short, as well as making money in the market generally but in the event that he loses, there is no escape from a bit of a loss. ASUTIH TEMPORARILY HALTED THE HYPE AND PUNISHED HIMSELF FOR STOPPING THE RACE, BELIEVING THAT IT WOULD TAKE TIME TO RECOVER THE LOSS, BECAUSE OF THE CURRENT ENTRY, THERE IS A CHANCE TO RECOVER THE LOSSES, BUT IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE TO EXTEND THE LOSSES FURTHER.

In terms of Hold Positions, the current Long Term Hold Positions are similar to US equities. The main holding indices are ETFs, such as $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$ und $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ , there are also three major tobacco stocks, such as $Philip Morris International(PM.US)$ 、 $British American Tobacco(BTI.US)$ and beauty $Altria(MO.US)$ , and the oil stocks of Buffett $Occidental Petroleum(OXY.US)$ und $McDonald's(MCD.US)$ 。 Shortline bit deployments have $MP Materials(MP.US)$ and nuclear stocks $Oklo Inc(OKLO.US)$ 。

Perspectives on the September Enchantment and Investment Outlook

For the spell of September, the assumption is that the stock market will not be so bad even in the event of a fall in September, as the company's performance, outlook and repurchase plans are not bad, plus the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is close to 100% even if it does not fall in September, and the chances of a rate cut in October are close to 100%. These factors may affect market capitalization Gold face is beneficial. In general, he sees September as a period of adjustment for US stocks, with an adjustment of around 3%, the decline will not be as severe as in April, and September should be an adjusted market. If you want to sell US stocks, wait.

He also noted that U.S. stocks are mainly affected this year by the three factors of interest rates, tariffs and AI, which he believes are unlikely to change or affect the stock market in the future. When faced with the spell of September, investors need to consider various factors and make prudent investment decisions.

In fact, there are many ways to invest in US stocks, whether they are rising or falling. To learn how to make money in volatile markets and how to adjust positions, check out the following:

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