Originally planned for four weeks, now preparing for a 100-day campaign: Trump administration compelled to escalate Middle East war deployment.
According to a notification obtained by POLITICO, the U.S. Central Command is requesting that the Pentagon deploy additional military intelligence personnel to its headquarters in Tampa, Florida, to support operations targeting Iran for at least 100 days, potentially extending until September.
Analyzing the Three Oil Crises: How Are Global Asset Classes Affected?
This article is from the Gelonghui column: Jinduan, authored by Xuan Yue. From October 1973 to October 1990, over a span of seventeen years, three oil crises occurred. The stock market's reaction grew increasingly complex and thought-provoking with each crisis. 011973: The Fourth Middle East War erupted on October 6, 1973, when Egypt and Syria launched a surprise attack on Israel. The war itself did not last long, but it opened a Pandora’s box. Shortly after the conflict began, the United States swiftly provided emergency military aid to Israel. The response from Arab oil-producing countries was quick: on October 16, Kuwait, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia...
The United States insists it will not engage in a 'permanent war,' but experts warn that the outlook remains far from optimistic.
Although the U.S. side strongly denies that it will be caught in a 'permanent war,' several Middle East experts have stated that given Iran's vast territory and large institutional framework, it is unrealistic to completely dismantle its resistance capabilities in the short term.
Iran plans to officially announce Mojtaba's succession today, as the Revolutionary Guards suppress internal divisions within the Assembly of Experts.
The official announcement meeting of Iran's Assembly of Experts will be held online on Thursday. At least eight experts are absent in protest of hereditary rule, while the Revolutionary Guards continue to lobby opposition groups. They claim that establishing a new leader promptly is essential for stabilizing the situation, but the internal crisis remains difficult to conceal.
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The interest rate market has chosen optimism, betting that the Iran war will last 'only a few weeks, rather than months.'
Global interest rate markets are optimistically betting that the Middle East conflict will end within weeks; however, the surge in energy prices has already reshaped expectations for monetary policies across countries: the likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut in March has dropped sharply, the probability of a European Central Bank rate hike within the year has risen to 20%, and the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting path remains largely unchanged. Experts warn that if the conflict persists for several months, inflationary pressures could substantially bring the current easing cycle to an end.