00135 KUNLUN ENERGY
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KUNLUN ENERGY News
The Fed's interest rate cut is expected to fall again, and international oil prices will rise first and then fall
This week (5.16-5.22), crude oil as a whole showed a trend of rising and then falling. WTI averaged 79.18 US dollars/barrel this week, up 0.53 US dollars/barrel, or 0.67% from the previous week.
Express News | CITIC Construction Investment: The gap between crude oil supply and demand may widen again in the future, and oil prices are expected to stop falling and rise again
Russia will also cut production on a compensatory basis! Citi: OPEC+ is unlikely to deepen production cuts
Russia's crude oil production in April exceeded the quota due to technical reasons. Citi believes that further OPEC+ production cuts are unlikely, and oil prices are expected to fall in the second half of the year.
Express News | The US Department of Energy announced that it will sell nearly 1 million barrels of gasoline reserves
A quick look at the Hong Kong market | The three major indices fluctuated and closed higher. Non-ferrous metals stocks rose across the board, China Gold International rose nearly 8%, and China Silver Group soared more than 54%
Auto stocks rose one after another. Xiaopeng Motor rose more than 7%, Zero Sports Auto rose nearly 7%; coal stocks rose one after another; Yancoal Australia rose nearly 6%, and China Coal Energy rose nearly 4%.
The Iran plane crash didn't spoil the oil market? Industry warns OPEC+ inventory will calm fluctuations
① The unexpected “steadiness” of the oil market on Monday was very different from the performance of the precious metals market, which soared due to news of the Iranian President's helicopter crash; ② On the other hand, Saudi Crown Prince postponed his visit to Japan due to Saudi King Salman's physical factors, and both major oil producers faced significant political risks; ③ Some analysts pointed out that the influence of geopolitics on the oil market has become inelastic, which is related to OPEC+'s large inventories.
Another uncertainty in the oil market: the Saudi king is sick, and the crown prince cancels his trip to Japan
Will the Saudi king's health issues affect the coherence of the country's oil policy?
Hedge fund bulls left the oil market and sold at the fastest speed in over a year!
As geopolitical risk premiums weakened and the market showed signs of sufficient supply, fund managers' long crude oil positions fell the fastest since March 2023 last week.
UBS: OPEC+ is expected to extend the production reduction agreement for at least 3 months, and oil will rise to $91 in June
OPEC+ will hold its next meeting on June 1, and UBS expects that the organization will agree to extend the voluntary production reduction agreement to maintain the balance of the oil market.
The trigger for the decline in the oil market? Diesel weakness has become a new focus!
Energy economists say the weakness of diesel is becoming more structural due to the increasing role of renewable diesel.
[Crude oil market closing] Inflation data strengthens expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. The Canadian wildfires caused a supply crisis, and the rebound in oil prices responded
The market balance is bullish with the US economy and crude oil storage data and the International Energy Agency's forecast of a weak global economy, leading to an increase in oil demand. Meanwhile, a fire broke out in the major Canadian oil town, causing the market to worry about crude oil supply. Oil prices rose nearly 1% from a two-month low on the previous trading day.
Energy consulting firm Rystad Energy: Gasoline demand will reach a new high since 2019 this summer
Energy consulting firm Rystad Energy said that despite recent signs of market weakness, global demand for gasoline will remain strong this summer, and consumption is expected to reach the highest level before the pandemic.
The IEA lowered its 2024 oil demand growth forecast to only half of what OPEC expected!
The International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered its forecast for oil demand growth in 2024 on Wednesday (May 14), further widening the agency's differences of opinion with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries OPEC (OPEC) on the outlook for global oil demand this year.
The IEA “sings the opposite” with most of its peers: global oil demand growth is expected to continue to weaken!
The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) released its latest monthly crude oil market report on Wednesday. The agency said that due to the economic slowdown and mild European weather, the outlook for global oil demand growth continues to weaken this year.
Hong Kong Stock Concept Tracking | Utilities welcome flexible adjustment window price increases or new support for dividend assets (with concept stocks)
The Zhitong Finance App learned that recently there has been frequent news of utility price increases, and water, electricity and gas prices have been adjusted in many parts of the country. Furthermore, the four high-speed rail fares of the Wuhan-Guangzhou High-Speed Rail, Shanghai-Hangzhou Passenger Railway, Shanghai-Kunming Passenger Railway, and Hangzhou-Ningbo Passenger Railway will open the price increase window in June, with an increase of about 19% to 20%. At the same time, the utility index has surged by more than 12% since this year. In terms of water prices, according to incomplete statistics from CITIC Securities, 24 municipal cities (regions) have adjusted tap water prices since 2022, and water price adjustments are continuing to advance. Among them, after entering 2024, the two major cities of Shanghai and Guangzhou have successively introduced water price adjustment plans. Water supply prices
Business Association: Crude oil fell during the cycle, retail prices of domestic refined oil products fell “two consecutive declines”
The price adjustment window for this round of domestic refined oil products will open at 24:00 on May 15, and the retail price of refined oil products will soon be lowered. In 2024, the retail price of refined oil products has gone through five increases and two drops, and the crude oil market declined during the cycle, and the negative rate of change increased. The retail price adjustment for refined oil products will be lowered for the third time in 2024.
OPEC+ opens rip mode, and “old scars” are once again unraveled
OPEC+ reopens the dispute, and discussions about the oil production capacity of its products OPEC+ once again faced a difficult problem: how much oil can actually be absorbed by its products. This issue poses a risk to the organization's efforts to stabilize the world market.
Express News | OPEC maintains global oil demand forecast for this year and next
OPEC+ is arguing again! “Old scars” have been revealed again
On Tuesday, according to foreign media reports, OPEC+ reopened a heated debate on the ability of member states to produce oil, raising concerns about the further breakdown of unity in the alliance. The US and Burma have plummeted in the intraday market when they heard the news, and have now largely recovered all of the declines caused by the news.
Oil market alert! Demand for diesel is weak, and refineries cut production
The profit from diesel production at Asian refineries is close to the lowest level in a year. This has prompted refineries to reduce the amount of crude oil they process.
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