[Major Banks] UBS Group expects Hong Kong property prices to remain broadly stable from the second half of this year through next year, noting that four key risks are not fully priced in and that the housing supply shortage is projected to last only four
UBS Group’s Investment Banking Research Division notes that the market has not fully priced in four key risks facing Hong Kong’s property sector, given that developer dividend yield spreads remain above historical averages. These risks include a jobless recovery, integration within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, housing supply in the Northern Metropolis, and a demographic shortfall. Leung Kin Ka, UBS’s real estate analyst for Greater China, pointed out that although GDP growth has reached 3% to 4% since 2024, new job creation has weakened significantly. Since 2023, employment opportunities for fresh graduates have dropped by more than 70%, while the youth unemployment rate has remained elevated at 7% to 8%. Improved cross-border transport links and reduced income visibility may further exacerbate...
JPMorgan: The sharp rise in mainland Chinese property stocks yesterday lacked clear catalysts; maintains China Overseas Land & Investment (00688.HK), China Resources Land (01109.HK), and China Jinmao (00817.HK) as top picks.
JPMorgan issued a research report noting that the mainland Chinese property sector surged approximately 5% in a single day yesterday (the 12th), while the Hang Seng Index fell by about 1% over the same period. However, with no clear industry-specific news identified, the bank suggested that the market may have been stimulated by reports on the five-year urban renewal plan. Yet, this plan was already announced in May 2026 and is not new information; moreover, the estimated investment of RMB 15 trillion has been cited multiple times. JPMorgan currently expresses little enthusiasm for the urban renewal plan, as its policy objectives are driven more by social considerations than by efforts to revitalize the property market. Furthermore, the plan alone remains insufficient to address the two core issues of high inventory levels and weak homebuyer confidence. JPMorgan also noted that investors generally reflected that...
[New Launch] Bulk buyer purchases two units at Kai Tak Victoria Harbour·Bay, involving HK$48.172 million
At Kai Tak Victoria Harbour · Waterfront, a residential project jointly developed by China Overseas Land & Investment (00688.HK), Wharf Holdings (00004.HK), Henderson Land (00012.HK), and K. Wah International (00173.HK), a bulk buyer acquired two units for a total of HK$48.172 million. The transacted units were Unit B on the 20th floor and Unit B on the 21st floor of Block 5B. Both units have a saleable area of 667 square feet and feature a three-bedroom suite layout. Unit B on the 20th floor was sold for approximately HK$24.026 million, representing a price per square foot of HK$36,021; Unit B on the 21st floor was sold for HK$24.146 million, with a price per square foot of HK$36,201.
Goldman Sachs: Beijing Introduces New Round of Easing Measures; Domestic Property Sector Valuations Offer Upside Potential
Goldman Sachs issued a research report stating that on August 7, Beijing announced a new round of real estate easing measures—the third such policy support measure in the past year and the first since 2026. This round of adjustments includes reducing the required social insurance or individual income tax payment period for non-residents purchasing property within the Fifth Ring Road from two years to one year, exempting homebuyers from eligibility reviews when parents gift property to their children, and significantly increasing housing provident fund loan limits. For dual-income households, the maximum provident fund loan amounts for first and second homes have been doubled to RMB 2.4 million and RMB 2 million, respectively, with cumulative upward adjustments allowing for a maximum loan amount of up to RMB 3.4 million. Goldman Sachs noted that following this relaxation...
New Launch: A two-bedroom unit at Kai Tak Bay sold for HK$15.818 million, or over HK$25,800 per square foot.
Kai Tak Bay, a joint development by K Wah International (00173.HK), Wheelock Properties, and China Overseas Land & Investment (00688.HK), recorded a sale of a two-bedroom unit yesterday (the 10th). The unit, located at Flat A on the 25th floor of Tower 1C, has a usable area of 613 square feet and features a two-bedroom, one-en-suite layout with a storage room. It was sold for HK$15.818 million, or HK$25,804 per square foot. The buyer is a mainland Chinese professional who intends to occupy the unit as a primary residence. Since its launch, Kai Tak Bay has sold a total of 1,129 units, generating aggregate proceeds exceeding HK$9.4 billion.
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (00688.HK): The '25 China Overseas 03' bond will pay interest on August 12.
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (00688) announced that the first tranche of the second issue of corporate bonds publicly offered by China Overseas Enterprises Group Co., Ltd. in 2025 to professional investors will pay interest for the period from August 12, 2025, to August 11, 2026, on August 12, 2026.
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (00688.HK): The interest payment for “25 China Overseas Enterprise MTN002A” will be made on August 25.
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (00688.HK) announced that the second tranche of its 2025 medium-term notes (Series A), issued by its wholly owned subsidiary China Overseas Enterprises Development Group Co., Ltd., will pay interest on August 25, 2026. The bond is designated as '25 China Overseas Enterprises MTN002A', with a total issuance amount of RMB 1.5 billion and a coupon rate of 1.75% for the current interest period.
《Major Brokerage》JPMorgan: Beijing's easing of property market policies has limited impact; prefers China Overseas Land & Investment (0688.HK), China Resources Land (1109.HK), and Sino-Ocean Group (0817.HK)
JPMorgan published a research report noting that mainland authorities have emphasized stabilizing the property market, and Beijing introduced new policies last week, including reducing the social insurance or individual income tax payment requirement for non-Beijing resident households purchasing commercial housing within the Fifth Ring Road from two years to one year; allowing multi-child families to purchase an additional property within the Fifth Ring Road, with no purchase limits outside the Fifth Ring Road; and exempting children from home-purchase eligibility verification when parents gift them residential properties in Beijing under the family name. JPMorgan stated that this round of easing marks the first relaxation of property market measures since December last year, but it believes the impact on boosting buyer confidence will be limited, as this is already Beijing’s eighth policy easing since 2023, and most buyers
Mainland China Property: Beijing introduces significant new property market policies; mainland developers rally collectively, with Country Garden (02007.HK) up nearly 8%.
Beijing has become the first tier-one city to take action following the Politburo meeting at the end of July, which called for 'stabilizing the property market.' The Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Beijing Municipal Planning and Natural Resources Commission, and the Beijing Housing Provident Fund Management Center jointly issued the 'Notice on Further Optimizing and Adjusting Municipal Real Estate Policies,' effective August 8. Under the new measures, non-Beijing resident households purchasing commercial housing within the Fifth Ring Road will see the required social insurance or individual income tax payment period reduced from two years to one year. Multi-child families will be permitted to purchase one additional property within the Fifth Ring Road, while purchases outside the Fifth Ring Road will face no quantity restrictions. Mainland China property stocks rose today (August 10), with Country Garden (02007.HK) currently trading at HK$0.192, up 7.87%, on turnover o
Mainland China property stocks listed in Hong Kong led gains as Beijing implemented significant new real estate market policies, with institutions suggesting the impact may be slightly better than that of Shanghai's 'Seven Measures.'
Beijing has implemented significant new housing market policies, lowering the residency requirement for non-Beijing residents to purchase property to one year and raising the maximum housing provident fund loan amount to RMB 3.4 million.
Express News | Beijing: Social insurance or individual income tax payment requirement for non-Beijing resident families purchasing homes reduced to one year
On the evening of the 7th, the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Beijing Municipal Planning and Natural Resources Commission, and the Beijing Housing Provident Fund Management Center jointly issued the 'Notice on Further Optimizing and Adjusting Beijing’s Real Estate Policies,' specifying that the required duration of social insurance contributions or individual income tax payments for non-Beijing resident families purchasing commercial housing within the Fifth Ring Road has been reduced from 'two years' to 'one year.' Following this adjustment, the requirement across the entire municipality for non-Beijing resident families purchasing commercial housing is uniformly set at 'one year' of social insurance or individual income tax payments, with no change to the allowable number of housing units they may purchase. Specifically, non-Beijing resident families who have paid social insurance or individual income tax for at least one year may purchase one commercial housing unit within the Fifth Ring Road; multi-child families are eligible to purchase one additional unit. Outside the Fifth Ring Road, there is no limit on the number of units they may purchase. The Notice takes effect from the 8th.
China Overseas Land & Investment Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim 2026 Results
CHINA OVERSEAS: DATE OF BOARD MEETING
Express News | Some banks have lowered mortgage rates into the '2%' range, with certain lenders offering home loan rates below 2.8%.
Recently, numerous homebuyers have posted screenshots on social media showing mortgage interest rates in the '2% range,' sparking widespread discussion. Journalists' investigations revealed that such housing loans are mostly existing five-year loans. On August 6, through visits and calls to multiple banks in Beijing, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, and other cities, reporters found that most banks still maintain mortgage rates at or above 3%. Some foreign-invested banks can offer housing loans with interest rates below 2.8%, but they impose multiple eligibility thresholds related to customer qualifications and cooperative channels. Additionally, some banks indicated that while they cannot lower loan interest rates directly, they can provide homebuyers with certain price discounts through partnerships with specific real estate developments. (China Securities Journal)
Selected Hong Kong Stock Exchange Announcements | BioInnovate reported a year-on-year increase of approximately 400% in interim profit; China Overseas Land & Investment recorded sales of nearly RMB 150 billion in the first seven months.
① BioMx’s interim profit surged approximately 400% year-over-year—what is its scale? ② China Overseas Land & Investment recorded sales of nearly RMB 150 billion in the first seven months—what was its growth rate?
China Overseas Land's July Contracted Sales Jump 28%
China Overseas Land & Investment (HKG:0688) recorded contracted sales of 15.1 billion yuan in July, up 28% year over year.Sales area for the month fell 17% to approximately 550,600 square meters,
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (00688.HK): The bond '21 China Overseas 06' will be redeemed for principal and interest and delisted on August 9.
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (00688) announced the issuance of bonds titled "China Overseas Enterprises Group Co., Ltd. 2021 Public Offering of Corporate Bonds to Professional Investors (Phase III) (Tranche II)" (Bond Abbreviation: 21 China Overseas 06; Bond Code: 149588).
China Real Estate: Shenzhen recorded 2,664 new residential home sales in July, up 32.5% year-over-year.
According to data from Shenzhen’s real estate information platform cited by domestic media, a total of 3,773 newly built commercial housing units were transacted citywide in Shenzhen in July, representing a 35.2% month-on-month decline but a 19.3% year-on-year increase. Of these, 2,664 were newly built residential units, down 6.8% month-on-month but up 32.5% year-on-year. For the first seven months of the year combined, Shenzhen recorded cumulative transactions of 35,104 new homes, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.7%; residential transactions totaled 21,935 units, down 10.6% year-on-year, though the pace of decline narrowed compared with the first half of the year.
China Property Sector Unlikely to Have Meaningful Near-Term Rerating -- Market Talk
0223 GMT - China's property sector is unlikely to have a meaningful rerating in the near term, according to Daiwa analyst William Wu. The sector lacks "clear catalysts," and it will likely take
《Hong Kong Property》China Overseas Land & Investment (00688.HK) won the Urban Renewal Authority’s Pak Lee Street / Chekiang Street project in Hung Hom for HK$6.902 billion, exceeding the upper end of the valuation range.
The Urban Renewal Authority (URA) announced that, following an open tender process, it has decided to partner with Wei Guo Investment Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (HKEX: 0688), for the development of the Hung Hom Pitt Street/Chekiang Street project. The company secured the development contract for the project with a bid of HK$6.902 billion. The URA had previously received seven tenders for the project. A tender evaluation panel established by the URA Board carefully assessed all seven submissions and recommended to the Board that the development contract be awarded to Wei Guo Investment Limited. After deliberation, the Board accepted the panel’s recommendation and approved the award of the project. Market valuations had estimated the project’s maximum value at HK$5.8 billion, or approximately HK$ per square foot of gross floor area.