Express News | Fangzheng Securities: Pig prices have entered a slow upward trend
Nurturing a new cycle: “Earning money” in the second half of the year was a consistent expectation. Was it a small fluctuation or a big market?
Financial Services Association, May 12 (Reporters Liu Jian and Wang Ping An) The timeline for capacity removal is lengthening, and the pig cycle concept seems to be weakening, yet the pig industry is still thirsting for a “new cycle.”
The era of marginal profit: who is silently falling to the bottom and waiting for the “dividend” of pig prices to pick up?
A new cycle has spawned, and the traditional cycle of ups and downs and huge profits is far away. How should pig companies with rapid expansion and debt pressure survive in the future?
Cyclical changes: Profitability attracts capital to pour in, and pig companies sound the trumpet of expanding production
Who is behind cycle failure? Mr. Lu, who has experienced African swine fever, felt it very deeply. “I think it's capital. Raising pigs was very profitable after African swine fever in '19.”
Production capacity is slowly being removed: pig companies' debt ratios are rising, and “they can handle it” even though the pressure is high
The boom in pig farming began, the proportion of large-scale pig farming increased rapidly, production capacity recovered rapidly, and was slow to decline. “Before 2017, the proportion of retail investors was quite large, and the number of retail sows would also fluctuate relatively large, further driving the evolution of the pig cycle.” An industry insider said.
Pig cycle “failure”: the worst loss in history, farmers bluntly called it “too difficult!”
① In the past, the pig cycle was about every 3-4 years. The upward time in this round of the pig cycle was short, and losses on the breeding side were serious, and the industry lamented “it's hard to make money!” ② The formation cycle of the pig industry is a mismatch between changes in supply and demand and the pig growth cycle.
CICC: Pig prices may start to rise, and pig companies' balance sheet recovery has entered a critical period
From an enterprise perspective, the current financial pressure on pig companies has reached a historical extreme, and the period of rising pig prices is a critical window for balance sheet repair. From an investment perspective, the current round of the market did not beat pig prices; the inflection point on the right side of pig prices is a key catalyst.
Express News | CICC: Pig prices may start to rise, and pig companies' balance sheet recovery has entered a critical period
National Bureau of Statistics: Pig prices in late April fell 1.3% from mid-month to month
On May 7, the National Bureau of Statistics announced changes in market prices for important means of production in the distribution sector in late April.
惠生國際:二零二三年年報
Egg prices have soared in many countries! The “deadliest bird flu in history” has made a comeback, and the US and Japan have once again been affected by the disaster
① Recently, signs of a resurgence of bird flu have been discovered again in farms in the United States, Japan and other places. ② Currently, in addition to the US and Japan, egg prices have soared in Europe, Mexico, Indonesia, etc., and many consumers have even begun to stock up on eggs.
Express News | Huatai Securities: Pig prices are expected to rise steadily from May
Huatai Securities: The off-season will take full advantage. What should we pay attention to when investing in pig stocks?
Huatai Securities released a research report saying that pig prices have fluctuated and declined since April, but the pullback has not been significant. The off-season is over, pig prices are expected to rise steadily from May, 24Q2 pig prices may improve year on month, and drive pork's contribution to CPI to the right.
Changjiang Securities: Non-linear capacity removal in the pig breeding industry may open up investment opportunities in the optimistic sector
Changjiang Securities released a research report stating that in the first quarter of 2024, when pig prices are still relatively low, it is expected that sector performance will continue to be under pressure, and the industry may begin to remove production capacity nonlinearly.
Is the “pig on the cusp” here again? Listed pig companies welcome a sharp rise in volume and price, pig prices are expected to rise until the second quarter
After a long period of the coldest pig cycle, the pig market dawned in March. Recently, in the March sales data disclosed by listed pig companies, the number of domestic pigs released has rebounded, and the average sales price has picked up accordingly. Leading pig companies' Q1 losses may narrow month-on-month. A CIFA reporter learned from an industry interview that the loose pig supply situation began to improve in March, and pig prices are expected to rise moderately in the second quarter.
Cycle inflection point? Pig farming has begun to make money, and retail investors in institutional enterprises have been “optimistic” for 10 weeks in a row | Industry Watch
CIFA reporters learned in multiple interviews that due to the continuous rise in pig prices since March, the breeding side has now officially started a profit model. Some farmers told CIFA reporters, “I currently earn about 250 yuan per pig.” Another pig company source said, “Some low-cost pig farms under the company have already entered the profit range.”
Caitong Securities: The pig cycle is declining for a long time, can CPI rise?
The Zhitong Finance App learned that CaiTong Securities released a research report saying that the current pig cycle is at the bottom of the downward cycle. The current upward phase has continued for 6 months, while the downward phase has continued for about 16 months, which is close to 3 times the upward period.
Wison International (01340) announced annual results. Shareholders' share loss of 144 million yuan increased by 2457.52% year-on-year
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惠生國際:截至二零二三年十二月三十一日止年度 年度業績公告
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