Drawing ever closer, yet still failing to materialize! Morgan Stanley: The probability of a U.S.-Iran deal falling through is as high as 70%.
The U.S.-Iran conflict appears to be just one step away from resolution but continues to elude a final conclusion. A recent JPMorgan report warns that negotiations remain stuck in a state of 'perpetually approaching but never signing,' with only a 10% probability of an actual agreement being reached.
Oil prices may fall toward $70! JPMorgan: Global equity rotation is set to resume.
With a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran imminent, JPMorgan strategist Ward expects oil prices to potentially drop to $70 in the coming weeks. She believes sustained downward pressure on oil prices would reignite the market rotation previously interrupted, providing tailwinds for equities; meanwhile, lower oil prices could create room for central banks to cut interest rates, offering additional support to stock valuations.
Express News | U.S. Senior Official: U.S. and Iran Have Signed a Memorandum of Understanding
Express News | Iran: Certain provisions of the Iran-U.S. Memorandum of Understanding will take effect on the 15th
Reduced risks in the Strait of Hormuz could push U.S. gasoline prices below the $4 mark, offering consumers a 'breather' from high fuel costs.
The average price of gasoline in the United States has remained above $4 per gallon for 76 consecutive days, continuing to weigh on consumers. A U.S.-Iran deal is nearing completion, and analysts expect gasoline prices to fall to $3.75 by July 4. Although there are signs of resumed navigation through the Strait, risks such as hurricanes and tight inventory levels persist, leaving oil price movements subject to uncertainty.
Express News | The U.S. and Iran have confirmed an agreement, paving the way for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with Iranian media releasing the 14-point terms of the memorandum of understanding; Nasdaq futures rose more than 1%, while gold, silver, and oil open