Week Ahead | Inflation Takes Center Stage! US CPI Follows Nonfarm Payrolls; JD.com and Tencent Lead Wave of China-Concept Earnings, as AI Supply Chain Giants Report En Masse
In the new week, the market’s macro focus will shift comprehensively from employment to inflation and consumer spending. The U.S. July CPI, PPI, and retail sales—dubbed the 'terrifying data'—will be released consecutively starting Wednesday, directly influencing market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s policy path in September.
Express News | Moore Threads: Planning to issue H-shares and list on the Main Board of The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited.
Express News | China's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 3.5% year-on-year in July, compared with a 4.1% increase in the previous month.
Express News | China's CPI rose by 0.5% year-on-year in July, compared with a 1% increase in the previous month.
Top-performing Hong Kong-listed stocks this week | Nason Technology surged over 64% on its listing day, driven by strong revenue growth from NBC product ramp-up; MINIMAX rose more than 41% after DeepSeek officially announced price hikes, signaling an end
This week, the Hang Seng Index declined by 0.84% cumulatively, closing at 25,668.03 points; the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.6% over the same period, closing at 4,858.29 points; and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell by 0.94% cumulatively, closing at 8,531.58 points.
Hang Seng Index Bull/Bear Ratio (49:51) | August 8
As of August 8, the latest bull-to-bear warrant ratio for the Hang Seng Index stood at 49:51.
Market Snapshot | All three major indices rose, with the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.78%; large-model-related stocks performed strongly, Zhipu AI surged nearly 15%, and MINIMAX gained almost 10%; PCB-related stocks advanced, with T.T. Board Holdings rising
Technology and internet stocks declined across the board, with SenseTime Group down 3.95% and NetEase up 1.08%; pharmaceutical stocks rose collectively, led by Pharmaron advancing 12.07% and Insilico Medicine up 10.88%; semiconductor stocks gained, with GigaDevice rising 6.80% and Tianshu Zhixin up 6.31%;
Oil Rises, Asian Markets Mixed on Doubts That Strait of Hormuz Can Reopen Soon -- Update
Hong Kong Market Midday Review | All three major indices rose, with the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.34%; large-model and PCB-related stocks were active, with MINIMAX and Zhipu AI surging over 17%, and Shenghong Technology rising more than 11%; pharmaceutica
Tech and internet stocks broadly declined, with SenseTime-W down 4.61% and Kuaishou-W up 1.13%; semiconductor stocks strengthened, with GigaDevice rising 8.31% and Tianshu Zhixin up 7.33%; pharmaceutical stocks advanced, with Pharmaron climbing 8.08% and Asymchem rising 8.07%;
Express News | Caixin News Midday Digest, August 7
Futu Morning Brief | Trump announces additional tariffs on polysilicon and its derivatives; Terafab AI chip mega-factory project launches with initial investments of $16.8 billion from SpaceX and Tesla; U.S. nonfarm payrolls data to be released tonight at
The Trump administration has banned the export of tungsten scrap and battery waste to enhance the supply capacity of critical minerals; Trump stated that no agreement on the Strait of Hormuz has been reached yet and that he is involved in related negotiations.
Hang Seng Index Bull/Bear Ratio (52:48) | August 7
As of August 7, the latest bull-to-bear warrant ratio for the Hang Seng Index stood at 52:48.
HK Market Snapshot | All three major indices declined, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 2%; tech and internet stocks fell, Baidu down more than 4%, Alibaba and Tencent each falling nearly 3%; MINIMAX surged逆势 by over 17%.
Tech and internet stocks declined, with Baidu Group-SW down 4.38% and Alibaba-W down 2.89%; auto stocks fell, with Leapmotor down 4.70% and Geely Auto down 4.48%; shares across the smartphone supply chain broadly declined, with FIT HON TENG down 4.85% and SMIC down 3.90%;
Hong Kong Market Midday Review | All three major indices declined, with the Hang Seng Tech Index falling 1.87%; artificial intelligence stocks rose, with MINIMAX surging over 16% and Shenghong Technology gaining more than 7%; insurance stocks weakened, wi
Tech and internet stocks declined, with Baidu Group-SW down 3.21% and Alibaba-W down 3.12%; insurance stocks broadly fell, with AIA down 8.75% and China Pacific Insurance down 2.10%; most lithium battery stocks declined, with Ganfeng Lithium down 4.84% and CALB down 4.18%;
Express News | Caixin News Midday Digest – August 6
Oil Rises as Traders Await Formal Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz -- Update
Alex Kwok: This week's market trading volume has felt relatively insufficient.
Vincent Kwok, Vice Chairman of the Hong Kong Society of Analysts, noted that the market rose initially yesterday before turning volatile. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) opened slightly higher by 38 points at 25,890 on the morning of the 5th, then fluctuated downward to an intraday low of 25,729. However, supported by continuous stabilizing buying interest, the market began to recover. The HSI even rebounded to as high as 25,973, but buying momentum appeared restrained at elevated levels, keeping the broader market range-bound within the aforementioned interval. Following the slight volatility seen in yesterday’s morning session, the month’s market pattern has begun to take shape—initially rising before declining. The HSI has temporarily retreated from its intra-month peak of 26,187 points on the 4th to the day’s low of 25,729 points on the 5th, marking the month-to-date trading range.
Why Did Trump TACO Again? Analyzing the Ultimate Outcome in the Strait of Hormuz
Winning the election is critically important; Trump cannot afford a prolonged conflict. Iran has gained de facto control over the Strait, and there are two proposed tolling schemes that would save Trump's face—securing a ceasefire from the Houthis would not be difficult.
Futu Morning Brief | Dow Jones hits new all-time high, gold approaches USD 4,300/oz; Google's AI division undergoes major leadership reshuffle; SanDisk and Western Digital plunge in after-hours trading as guidance misses expectations; MINIMAX, Sanhuan Gro
U.S. media reported that Trump was misled on ammunition stockpile issues and vented his frustration at the Defense Secretary; officials stated that the U.S. Treasury's removal of Iran-related sanctions does not signify a policy shift.
The Hang Seng Index surged 13% in July—does this rally in Hong Kong stocks represent a temporary rebound or a major trend reversal? Two key thresholds will determine the market’s upside potential.
Hong Kong equities are indeed emerging from multiple sources of pressure, but whether they can embark on a genuine, sustained bull market hinges on overcoming two critical thresholds: improvement in corporate earnings and easing of U.S. dollar liquidity. The former determines the trend of the bull market, while the latter dictates its magnitude and resilience.