It is still uncertain whether the United Kingdom's central bank will cut interest rates for the first time in August.
It is still uncertain whether the Bank of England will announce its first interest rate cut since 2020 next week, due to the regulations before the July 4th election. Major decision-makers have not spoken publicly for more than two months, making uncertainty greater than usual. Whether recent higher-than-expected service inflation is enough to prevent the central bank from lowering interest rates from the 16-year high of 5.25% is anyone's guess. Interest rate futures indicate a 50% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut on August 1. Although a Reuters survey shows that most economists still expect a rate cut, the Bank of England may wait until the next meeting on September 19 to make a decision.
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Survey shows: economists expect the Bank of England to make its first rate cut in August and reduce interest rates twice this year.
Most economists expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 5% next week.