Will the US dollar and US bond yields plummet tonight? The options market is so confident in the US CPI data
① There are signs that options traders in the US Treasury bond market are preparing for a sharp rebound in bond prices and a sharp drop in yield after the release of major CPI data on Wednesday; ② Over the past week, traders bought a large number of options that would benefit when 10-year US bond yields fell to about 4.3%. This level was nearly 15 basis points lower than the overnight closing price.
Inventory changes are coming, and US bond traders are making big moves to face CPI
A large number of purchases have surged, and some have used $150,000 to make a potential profit of $15 million.
It starts tonight! The key point of the Federal Reserve's “first drop” is about to begin, and the first war is about to begin
The US PPI data for April will be released tonight.
Treasury Yields a Tad Softer as Traders Await Inflation Data
Bond yields were a little lower early Tuesday as the market awaited inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Treasury Yields Lower Amid Dearth of Data on Monday
Rates on U.S. government debt were slightly lower Monday morning amid a lack of market-moving catalysts ahead of the next major inflation update being released later in the week.
Big gambling in emerging markets has been swept away by the “strong dollar”, and fund managers are still holding on!
Analysts say trading opportunities are “once in a lifetime,” and emerging market local bonds are even more attractive than before.
“Scared” by exceeding expectations by CPI three times! Traders are afraid to rush ahead
After being “heavily hammered” by taking many risks this year, investors are now afraid to take risks.
Treasury Yields Inch Higher After Data Shows Inflation Expectations Rising
Rates on U.S. government debt moved only slightly higher after Friday's data from the University of Michigan showed year-ahead inflation expectations moved up this month.
US Inflation Data in the Market Purview
With next week's pivotal US inflation data looming, we're witnessing a stall in stock market momentum and an uptick in US Treasury yields.
The Federal Reserve's “pigeon dispute” is intense, and traders carefully weigh the next steps after the US debt bears ebb
The direction of the Federal Reserve's policy this year is still very controversial, and interest rate traders are afraid to make big bets.
Former US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin: A strong dollar currently helps finance US debt
Mnuchin said that a strong dollar is currently an advantage in helping the US finance huge fiscal deficits, but he also called on the winners of the November presidential election to lead a new initiative to control the federal debt burden.
10-year US Treasury yields hit a three-week low Mnuchin calls on election winners to control the federal debt burden
① US 10-year Treasury yields continued to fall on Tuesday, as market expectations for interest rate cuts during the year heated up markedly after the release of the Federal Reserve's resolution and non-agricultural data; ② the US Treasury also sold $58 billion of three-year treasury bonds overnight, which received good overall demand; ③ Former US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin on Tuesday called on the winners of the November election to lead a new initiative to control the burden of federal debt.
The US Treasury's “debt issuance wave” is here! The global equity market is facing a major test
Powell's less aggressive rhetoric and weak employment last week boosted global bond prices; the US will issue $125 billion of 3-year, 10-year, and 30-year treasury bonds this week.
Interest on US bonds is astronomical: in March alone, interest was paid 89 billion US dollars, and 2 million US dollars are popping up every minute!
① The total amount of US Treasury bonds broke through the 34 trillion US dollar mark for the first time at the beginning of this year; ② behind the scale of daily borrowing, the US Treasury's interest payments also reached an astronomical figure in an environment of high interest rates; ③ In March alone, the US Treasury paid about 89 billion US dollars in interest to treasury bond holders; ④ Converted, the amount of interest payments reached about 2 million US dollars per minute.
Over 100 billion US debt auctions, the US bond market will be tested again this week
The market will welcome up to 125 billion US dollars in US bonds, including 58 billion US dollars of 3-year bonds, 45 billion US dollars of 10-year bonds, and 22 billion US dollars of 30-year bonds, which will test investors' demand for long-term bonds.
Economic issues are still the key to the US election! “Stagflation” concerns continue to threaten Biden's re-election
When it comes to the economy and inflation, Biden unfortunately lags behind. 46% of people trust Trump's ability to handle the economy, while Biden's approval rating is only 32%.
America still hasn't left the “deep water zone”! Kaitou Macro: Beware of these major factors impacting the market!
Kaitou Macro believes that if these key factors start to collapse, the financial situation is likely to deteriorate further.
The tough battle is here again! There is an auction of over 100 billion US dollars this week
Expectations that non-farmers are driving the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this fall have been revived, and Wall Street is going wild, but major challenges are imminent.
US stocks closed | NASDAQ rose about 2%, Apple surged 6% after the results, and Nvidia rose more than 3%
The three major US stock indexes closed up at least 1%; Amgen led the S&P and Dow, the diet drug duo Lilai once fell more than 3%, and Novo Nord Europe shares once fell more than 5%; the chip stock index closed up more than 2% and still fell throughout the week. Qualcomm's sharp rise fell back the next day, and AMD earnings fell more than 4% in the week
Options traders question Powell's dovish remarks; are expectations of the Fed's interest rate hike heating up?
Options linked to interest rates for guaranteed overnight financing suggest that the possibility that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in September or December is around 18% and 20%, respectively.